Politics prediction markets
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
6,206 markets · page 154 of 259
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
6,206 markets · page 154 of 259
Yes ≈ 54% chance
Despite a complete absence of any credible evidence or even a mainstream rumor, prediction markets have priced a Biden body-double theory at near-zero, reflecting the extreme unlikelihood of such a conspiracy being proven true.
Yes ≈ 1% chance
2 outcomes
Yes ≈ 86% chance
Yes ≈ 40% chance
Yes ≈ 20% chance
Yes ≈ 42% chance
Yes ≈ 24% chance
Yes ≈ 11% chance
Yes ≈ 34% chance