Politics prediction markets
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
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6,229 markets · page 16 of 260
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Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? — December 31, 2026
Despite low market odds (12%), the recent +2pt shift suggests growing external pressure on Ukraine from Western allies, even as Kyiv publicly rejects concessions. The key dynamic is whether sustained diplomatic pressure from key players like Germany and the US can overcome Ukraine's stated position before the 2027 deadline.
Yes12¢
No88¢
Yes ≈ 12% chance
$677K Vol 1pts