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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 167 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 4342 US elections 3253 Foreign politics 632 Political Leader Tenure 407 Future US Presidents 267 US Political Timelines 214 Leader Tenure Predictions 141 US Political Future 124 Presidential Candidacy 82 US Political Milestones ✨ 35 Person of the Year Awards 18 Sports & Political Leadership 9

6,563 markets · page 167 of 274

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the Trump Class Battleship be built or will the US Navy determine it is wasteful and unnecessary for modern warfare

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

Ɱ358 Vol▲ 0pts4mo

Polymarket

Open

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AZ-07 House Election Winner

Democratic Party95¢

8 outcomes

$14.3K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 27+ pts

Yes39¢

No61¢

Yes ≈ 39% chance

$29 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Who will win the 2028 senate election in Pennsylvania?

Democratic nominee71¢

3 outcomes

Ɱ1.8K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

AZ-08 House Election Winner

Republican Party79¢

8 outcomes

$7.5K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 29+ pts

Yes30¢

No70¢

Yes ≈ 30% chance

$29 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Kamala Harris run for governor of California?

The market correctly reflects that Kamala Harris is already committed to a 2028 presidential bid and the California governor primary has already concluded, making a 2026 run impossible.

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

Ɱ1.2M Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

AZ-09 House Election Winner

Republican Party94¢

8 outcomes

$12.9K Vol▼ 1pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 31+ pts

Yes21¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

$100 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Which Party will win the 2026 Mississippi Senate Race?

Republicans90¢

2 outcomes

Ɱ950 Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

CA-01 House Election Winner

Democratic Party93¢

8 outcomes

$30.7K Vol▼ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 33+ pts

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

$23 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Who will win the November 2026 election for the Texas State Senate District 9 seat?

Taylor Rehmet76¢

3 outcomes

Ɱ596 Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

CA-02 House Election Winner

Democratic Party94¢

8 outcomes

$7.6K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 17+ pts

Yes91¢

No9¢

Yes ≈ 91% chance

▼ 2pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the next person to have de facto control of the Executive Branch be Donald Trump Jr?

Yes2¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Ɱ801 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

CA-03 House Election Winner

Democratic Party93¢

8 outcomes

$32.9K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 19+ pts

Yes87¢

No13¢

Yes ≈ 87% chance

▲ 1pts1y

Polymarket

Open

CA-04 House Election Winner

Democratic Party96¢

8 outcomes

$13K Vol▼ 1pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will trump be president next year?

Yes98¢

No2¢

Yes ≈ 98% chance

Ɱ1.5K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 21+ pts

Yes81¢

No19¢

Yes ≈ 81% chance

▲ 1pts1y

Polymarket

Open

CA-05 House Election Winner

Republican Party87¢

8 outcomes

$7K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

How will Donald Trump die? (Add your own answer!)

❤️ Heart disease23¢

12 outcomes

Ɱ5.8K Vol▲ 0pts13y

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 25+ pts

Yes68¢

No32¢

Yes ≈ 68% chance

▲ 1pts1y