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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 169 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 4300 US elections 3202 Foreign politics 610 Political Leader Tenure 403 Future US Presidents 263 US Political Timelines 214 Leader Tenure Predictions 140 US Political Future 123 Presidential Candidacy 82 US Political Milestones ✨ 35 Person of the Year Awards 18 Sports & Political Leadership 9

5,340 markets · page 169 of 223

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?

Yes57¢

No43¢

Yes ≈ 57% chance

Ɱ52.5K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

‹ Prev1…167168169170171…223Next ›

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 12 House General Election be above 195000? — Above 195K

Yes70¢

No31¢

Yes ≈ 70% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Elon Musk run for US presidency?

No97¢

5 outcomes

Ɱ792 Vol▲ 0pts14y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 12 House General Election be above 200000? — Above 200K

Yes59¢

No41¢

Yes ≈ 59% chance

$200 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

MARCO RUBIO WILL WIN 2028 REPUBLICAN PRIMARY?

Yes30¢

No70¢

Yes ≈ 30% chance

Ɱ732 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 12 House General Election be above 210000? — Above 210K

Yes45¢

No55¢

Yes ≈ 45% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Which parties will field a candidate in the Clacton by-election?

Labour2¢

5 outcomes

Ɱ1.5K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 14 House General Election be above 150000? — Above 150K

Yes95¢

No6¢

Yes ≈ 95% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Adriano Espaillat run in the 2026 NY13 general election as an independent or third party candidate?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ200 Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 14 House General Election be above 157000? — Above 157K

Yes88¢

No13¢

Yes ≈ 88% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the 2028 Democratic or Republican nominee be a non-politician?

Yes32¢

No68¢

Yes ≈ 32% chance

Ɱ145 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 14 House General Election be above 165000? — Above 165K

Yes80¢

No20¢

Yes ≈ 80% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Jose Luis Ricon, Will DePue, Anson Yu, Alexey Guzey,Claire Wang, & Isaak Freeman all DnD campaign together by 2035?

Yes41¢

No59¢

Yes ≈ 41% chance

Ɱ40 Vol▲ 0pts9y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 14 House General Election be above 172000? — Above 172K

Yes73¢

No27¢

Yes ≈ 73% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Who will win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?

Alexi Giannoulias33¢

34 outcomes

Ɱ6.4K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 14 House General Election be above 180000? — Above 180K

Yes67¢

No33¢

Yes ≈ 67% chance

$200 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Jack Ciattarelli be the GOP Nominee for governor of New Jersey in 2029?

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

Ɱ221 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 15 House General Election be above 192000? — Above 192K

Yes89¢

No12¢

Yes ≈ 89% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will mandatory national service be a serious topic in US politics by the 2032 Presidential Election?

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

Ɱ121 Vol▲ 0pts6y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 15 House General Election be above 200000? — Above 200K

Yes73¢

No28¢

Yes ≈ 73% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 15 House General Election be above 210000? — Above 210K

Yes62¢

No39¢

Yes ≈ 62% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

As 2029 begins, who will be a justice on the Supreme Court of the United States? [w/ user-added answers]

Neil M. Gorsuch93¢

9 outcomes

Ɱ3.8K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 15 House General Election be above 220000? — Above 220K

Yes51¢

No49¢

Yes ≈ 51% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

If Gavin Newsome is the Democratic nominee for 2028 will he win the election?

Yes60¢

No40¢

Yes ≈ 60% chance

Ɱ1K Vol▲ 0pts2y