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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 171 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 4277 US elections 3184 Foreign politics 600 Political Leader Tenure 398 Future US Presidents 259 US Political Timelines 214 Leader Tenure Predictions 138 US Political Future 119 Presidential Candidacy 82 US Political Milestones ✨ 35 Person of the Year Awards 18 Sports & Political Leadership 9

5,323 markets · page 171 of 222

Manifold· Play

Open

If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a total abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ609 Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

‹ Prev1…169170171172173…222Next ›

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 19 House General Election be above 260000? — Above 260K

Yes25¢

No75¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will any country use a new voting system for the 2029 EU election?

Yes50¢

No50¢

Yes ≈ 50% chance

Ɱ107 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 22 House General Election be above 103000? — Above 103K

Yes94¢

No6¢

Yes ≈ 94% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the winner of the 2028 US Presidential Election be a first-time presidential contender?

Yes62¢

No38¢

Yes ≈ 62% chance

Ɱ738 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 22 House General Election be above 109000? — Above 109K

Yes85¢

No16¢

Yes ≈ 85% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the Democratic nominee of the 2028 presidential election be under the age of 50?

Yes30¢

No70¢

Yes ≈ 30% chance

Ɱ49 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 22 House General Election be above 114000? — Above 114K

Yes76¢

No24¢

Yes ≈ 76% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will cryptocurrency become the primary form of currency within the next 20 years?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ2.5K Vol▲ 0pts17y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 22 House General Election be above 119000? — Above 119K

Yes67¢

No34¢

Yes ≈ 67% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Michelle Bolsonaro either be elected president of Brazil or be the runner up in the 2026 presidential election?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ1.1K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 22 House General Election be above 124000? — Above 124K

Yes53¢

No47¢

Yes ≈ 53% chance

$4 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

What will be the next US presidential election to elect someone in their 50s?

202849¢

3 outcomes

Ɱ1.3K Vol▲ 0pts10y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 22 House General Election be above 129000? — Above 129K

Yes44¢

No56¢

Yes ≈ 44% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a US presidential candidate promise a national ban on cell-cultivated, lab-grown meat before 2030?

Yes55¢

No45¢

Yes ≈ 55% chance

Ɱ1.5K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 22 House General Election be above 134000? — Above 134K

Yes35¢

No66¢

Yes ≈ 35% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a national 6 week or less abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

Ɱ432 Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 22 House General Election be above 139000? — Above 139K

Yes26¢

No75¢

Yes ≈ 26% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will JD Vance refuse to certify any electoral college votes in the 2028 election?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ2.7K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 26 House General Election be above 210000? — Above 210K

Yes77¢

No24¢

Yes ≈ 77% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the party that wins the 2024 USA election win in 2028?

Yes42¢

No58¢

Yes ≈ 42% chance

Ɱ68 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 26 House General Election be above 220000? — Above 220K

Yes70¢

No30¢

Yes ≈ 70% chance

$200 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

In 2040, will there be a consensus that large-scale fraud occurred in the 2024 US presidential election? [$10k liquid]

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

Ɱ658 Vol▲ 0pts14y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 26 House General Election be above 230000? — Above 230K

Yes62¢

No39¢

Yes ≈ 62% chance

▲ 0pts1y