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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 171 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 4300 US elections 3202 Foreign politics 610 Political Leader Tenure 403 Future US Presidents 263 US Political Timelines 214 Leader Tenure Predictions 140 US Political Future 123 Presidential Candidacy 82 US Political Milestones ✨ 35 Person of the Year Awards 18 Sports & Political Leadership 9

6,522 markets · page 171 of 272

Polymarket

Open

CA-16 House Election Winner

Democratic Party94¢

8 outcomes

$86.3K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Who will win the 2028 Way-Too-Early Democratic Primary Draft on Silver Bulletin?

‹ Prev1…169170171172173…272Next ›

Team Nate (Shapiro, Booker, Gavin…)54¢

2 outcomes

Ɱ1.4K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Republicans, 20+ pts

Yes74¢

No26¢

Yes ≈ 74% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

CA-18 House Election Winner

Democratic Party94¢

8 outcomes

$38.3K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

What will be lowest Democracy Index received by the United States during the Trump Presidency?

7.00-7.9949¢

6 outcomes

Ɱ1.8K Vol▲ 0pts14y

Kalshi

Open

Republicans, 22+ pts

Yes66¢

No34¢

Yes ≈ 66% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

CA-19 House Election Winner

Democratic Party94¢

8 outcomes

$45.5K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Sarah McBride be censured in the 119th Congress?

Yes20¢

No80¢

Yes ≈ 20% chance

Ɱ185 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Republicans, 24+ pts

Yes58¢

No42¢

Yes ≈ 58% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

CA-20 House Election Winner

Republican Party94¢

8 outcomes

$26.9K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Donald Trump be revealed to have a major medical condition before the end of his second presidential term?

Yes76¢

No24¢

Yes ≈ 76% chance

Ɱ3.5K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Republicans, 26+ pts

Yes50¢

No51¢

Yes ≈ 50% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

CA-23 House Election Winner

Republican Party89¢

8 outcomes

$40.2K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Republicans, 28+ pts

Yes41¢

No59¢

Yes ≈ 41% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the Dutch cabinet fall in 2026?

Yes16¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

Ɱ1.3K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

CA-24 House Election Winner

Democratic Party94¢

8 outcomes

$33.5K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Republicans, 32+ pts

Yes25¢

No75¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Supreme Court Justice Out/New Justice Confirmed by EOD Jan 3 2027?

No Supreme Court Justice Leaves70¢

3 outcomes

Ɱ2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

CA-26 House Election Winner

Democratic Party94¢

8 outcomes

$31.4K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Republicans, 34+ pts

Yes17¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

If the filibuster is abolished in the USA senate, will the Democrats be the majority at the time?

Yes50¢

No50¢

Yes ≈ 50% chance

Ɱ152 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

CA-28 House Election Winner

Democratic Party94¢

8 outcomes

$110K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Republicans, 36+ pts

Yes11¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Democratic Trifecta in 2028? (Win House, Senate and Presidency)

Yes54¢

No46¢

Yes ≈ 54% chance

Ɱ614 Vol▲ 0pts2y