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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 174 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 4247 US elections 3145 Foreign politics 578 Political Leader Tenure 398 Future US Presidents 258 US Political Timelines 212 Leader Tenure Predictions 136 US Political Future 118 Presidential Candidacy 81 US Political Milestones ✨ 35 Person of the Year Awards 18 Sports & Political Leadership 9

5,285 markets · page 174 of 221

Manifold· Play

Open

Will global primary rhenium production exceed 82 thousand kg in the year ending December 2026?

Yes56¢

No44¢

Yes ≈ 56% chance

Ɱ47 Vol▲ 0pts8mo

Kalshi

Open

‹ Prev1…172173174175176…221Next ›

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 31 House General Election be above 175000? — Above 175K

Yes47¢

No53¢

Yes ≈ 47% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) be the Democratic nominee for President OR Vice President before the end of 2032?

Yes40¢

No60¢

Yes ≈ 40% chance

Ɱ455 Vol▲ 0pts6y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 31 House General Election be above 182000? — Above 182K

Yes36¢

No64¢

Yes ≈ 36% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

The Opportunities Party elected in 2026 New Zealand election?

Yes48¢

No52¢

Yes ≈ 48% chance

Ɱ1.5K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 31 House General Election be above 189000? — Above 189K

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

If Republicans lose the 2028 presidential election, will they attempt a coup? [Broad definition]

Yes56¢

No44¢

Yes ≈ 56% chance

Ɱ10.6K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 35 House General Election be above 134000? — Above 134K

Yes93¢

No7¢

Yes ≈ 93% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Who will be on the winning U.S. presidential ticket (President + VP) in 2028?

J.D. Vance25¢

64 outcomes

Ɱ13.8K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 35 House General Election be above 141000? — Above 141K

Yes84¢

No16¢

Yes ≈ 84% chance

$1 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 35 House General Election be above 148000? — Above 148K

Yes70¢

No31¢

Yes ≈ 70% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Uruguay's Libertarian Party secure at least 18 Chamber of Representatives seats in the 2029 legislative election?

Yes31¢

No69¢

Yes ≈ 31% chance

Ɱ50 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 35 House General Election be above 155000? — Above 155K

Yes57¢

No43¢

Yes ≈ 57% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Harris wins 2028 election?

Despite being the most recent Democratic nominee, Kamala Harris faces overwhelming skepticism about a 2028 bid, with party insiders and pundits arguing she should step aside, keeping her odds near zero.

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ210K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 35 House General Election be above 161000? — Above 161K

Yes47¢

No53¢

Yes ≈ 47% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

Ɱ222 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 37 House General Election be above 105000? — Above 105K

Yes95¢

No6¢

Yes ≈ 95% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

🇺🇸 Will the first woman to become President of the United States be a Republican or a Democrat?

Democrat53¢

3 outcomes

Ɱ2.3K Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 37 House General Election be above 110000? — Above 110K

Yes85¢

No16¢

Yes ≈ 85% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Stephen Wolfram win the Presidential Medal of Freedom by EOY2060?

Yes26¢

No74¢

Yes ≈ 26% chance

Ɱ70 Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 37 House General Election be above 116000? — Above 116K

Yes76¢

No25¢

Yes ≈ 76% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Stephen A. Smith be the Democratic Nominee for President in 2028?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Ɱ13.9K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 37 House General Election be above 121000? — Above 121K

Yes62¢

No38¢

Yes ≈ 62% chance

$300 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Conditional on their 2024 nominee, will the Democratic candidate for president win in 2028?

Robert F Kennedy, Jr.59¢

8 outcomes

Ɱ2.8K Vol▲ 0pts2y