Politics prediction markets
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
AllUS governance 4223US elections 3121Foreign politics 564Political Leader Tenure 396Future US Presidents 257US Political Timelines 212Leader Tenure Predictions 133US Political Future 118Presidential Candidacy 80US Political Milestones ✨ 35Person of the Year Awards 18Sports & Political Leadership 9
6,497 markets · page 176 of 271
Manifold· Play
Open
Will Trump cut >100,000 federal employees in 2026
Yes28¢
No72¢
Yes ≈ 28% chance
Ɱ857 Vol 0pts7mo
Polymarket
Open