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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 19 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 2853 US elections 1716 President ✨ 701 Foreign politics 238 Future US Presidents 211 US Political Timelines 111 Presidential Candidacy 64 Leader Tenure Predictions 60 Person of the Year Awards 11

4,507 markets · page 19 of 188

Manifold· Play

Open

Zuranolone gets FDA approval for major depression

Yes43¢

No57¢

Yes ≈ 43% chance

Ɱ224 Vol▲ 0pts7mo

Kalshi

Open

‹ Prev1…1718192021…188Next ›

TX-15 House winner?

Monica De La Cruz54¢

2 outcomes

$37.9K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Joe Biden and Kim Jong-un meet in person in year 2026?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Ɱ788 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

CO-04 House winner?

Lauren Boebert69¢

2 outcomes

$22.1K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will any of Donald Trump's children be elected to Congress, Vice President, or President of the US by 2050?

Yes44¢

No56¢

Yes ≈ 44% chance

Ɱ247 Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

Will Trump veto at least 4 bills before Jan 1, 2027? — At least 4

Yes25¢

No75¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

$5.9K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Joe Biden still be alive at the beginning of 2030?

Yes67¢

No33¢

Yes ≈ 67% chance

Ɱ6.6K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Will Donald Trump visit Iran before Aug 1, 2026? — Before Aug 1, 2026

The market prices a Trump visit to Iran as virtually impossible, reflecting the absence of any diplomatic framework, security clearance, or public indication that such a trip is even being considered with just days left before the deadline.

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$276K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Barron Trump graduate from NYU on time or earlier?

Yes85¢

No15¢

Yes ≈ 85% chance

Ɱ277 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo

Republican Governor, Democratic Senator72¢

4 outcomes

$26.7K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Donald Trump and Narendra Modi meet in person in year 2027?

Yes35¢

No65¢

Yes ≈ 35% chance

Ɱ36 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Delaware Senate General Election be above 440000? — Above 440K

Yes38¢

No62¢

Yes ≈ 38% chance

$370 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a Speaker of the House of Representatives ascend to the Presidency in the 21st century?

Yes23¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

Ɱ107 Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

Ghislaine Maxwell

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$67.5K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Democrats control the US Senate any time after the 2024 elections and before the 2030 elections?

Yes70¢

No30¢

Yes ≈ 70% chance

Ɱ3.1K Vol▲ 0pts4y

Kalshi

Open

Will President Trump issue any executive action on declassifying or releasing records related to unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) or UFOs before Aug 1, 2026? — Before Aug 1, 2026

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$13.3K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Joe Biden ever be uploaded?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ1.1K Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

TN-05 House winner?

Republican party86¢

2 outcomes

$17.3K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Mitch McConnell die before Joe Biden?

Yes72¢

No28¢

Yes ≈ 72% chance

Ɱ11.1K Vol▲ 0pts6y

Kalshi

Open

During Trump's term

Yes47¢

No53¢

Yes ≈ 47% chance

$60.7K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Donald Trump be elected president of the US in the 2048 election?

The market's 2% odds reflect Trump's age (102 in 2048) and the absence of any precedent for electing a candidate over 80, not the recent headlines about visa denials or mail-voting rulings, which are irrelevant to a race 22 years away.

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Ɱ121K Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

PA-07 House winner?

Bob Brooks76¢

2 outcomes

$20.7K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Joe Biden and Narendra Modi meet in person in year 2028?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ583 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

No new person64¢

8 outcomes

$31.5K Vol▲ 0pts2y