Skip to content

Discover ✨Ask Topics Community 🎓Learn

PredictPal is a neutral, third-party aggregator of public prediction-market data. It is informational only — not affiliated with any platform, and it does not facilitate trading or hold funds. Market data is sourced from each platform’s public API and may be delayed.

Sources: Polymarket · Kalshi · Manifold · PredictIt · Hyperliquid · Myriad · Azuro · Limitless · Futuur · ForecastEx · InsightX · XO Market · Smarkets · SX Bet · Metaculus

Compare odds across venues·Resolved markets·How it works·Support·Privacy Policy·Terms of Service

Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 20 | PredictPal · PredictPal

🏛️

Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3965 US elections 2858 Foreign politics 458 Political Leader Tenure 364 Future US Presidents 233 US Political Timelines 206 Leader Tenure Predictions 121 US Political Future 108 Presidential Candidacy 78 Person of the Year Awards 15 Sports & Political Leadership 10

743 markets · page 20 of 31

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico Senate General Election be above 1050000? — Above 1.05M

Yes5¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

‹ Prev1…1819202122…31Next ›

Open

If Trump wins, will there be more than 2 million illegal border crossings in the US-Mexico border in FY 2026?

Yes10¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ26.2K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico Senate General Election be above 1100000? — Above 1.10M

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$1 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

US strike on Mexico by December 31?

The market heavily discounts a US strike on Mexico despite rising bilateral tensions over drug trafficking, partly because recent headlines are dominated by the World Cup and teacher protests, not military escalation.

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$702K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Reform UK top the YouGov voting intention poll at the time of the next UK general election, but lose?

Yes20¢

No80¢

Yes ≈ 20% chance

Ɱ2.6K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico Senate General Election be above 800000? — Above 800K

Yes27¢

No73¢

Yes ≈ 27% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?

Yes9¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$63.6K Vol▼ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Canada allow US dairy during Trump’s term?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ495 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico Senate General Election be above 840000? — Above 840K

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

Yes27¢

No74¢

Yes ≈ 27% chance

$1.4K Vol▼ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Starmer vs Burnham decision market - will Labour win a majority in the next general election?

**Assuming Burnham is Labour leader**, Labour wins a majority30¢

2 outcomes

Ɱ5.9K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico Senate General Election be above 880000? — Above 880K

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$41.1K Vol▲ 1pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico Senate General Election be above 920000? — Above 920K

Yes10¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

UK government approval among women falls below 5% this year (repost from last year)?

Yes52¢

No48¢

Yes ≈ 52% chance

Ɱ78 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico Senate General Election be above 960000? — Above 960K

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$220 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will One Nation win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election in Australia?

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

Ɱ1.2K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

Canada's population is already shrinking sharply due to immigration curbs and record emigration, making a record annual drop plausible, but the exact historical record is not specified in headlines, so the 82% odds reflect strong recent trends rather than a known baseline.

Yes85¢

No15¢

Yes ≈ 85% chance

$1.8K Vol▼ 1pts9mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$8.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

If a Republican is elected POTUS in 2024, will the US send troops into Mexico before EOY 2028?

Yes17¢

No83¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

Ɱ562 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Will Alberta join the US?

Despite fringe political chatter and a low-probability market, Alberta joining the US remains a near-impossible scenario given the lack of any official bilateral process, constitutional barriers, and the absence of serious political momentum on either side of the border.

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$2.2M Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

European Union

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$437 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will there a major change in the election of MPs before 2030? What is the result of the 2024 election?

Labour Majority - No66¢

6 outcomes

Ɱ14.6K Vol▲ 0pts4y

Polymarket

Open

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$221K Vol▼ 0pts5mo