Politics prediction markets
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
AllUS governance 4247US elections 3145Foreign politics 578Political Leader Tenure 398Future US Presidents 258US Political Timelines 212Leader Tenure Predictions 136US Political Future 118Presidential Candidacy 81US Political Milestones ✨ 35Person of the Year Awards 18Sports & Political Leadership 9
6,513 markets · page 201 of 272
Manifold· Play
Open
Will there be a transgender president before a transgender speaker of the house.
Yes16¢
No84¢
Yes ≈ 16% chance
Ɱ1.6K Vol 0pts—
Polymarket
Open