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Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

Milei's 95% No odds reflect a stable presidency despite recent bizarre behavior, but the 5% Yes captures tail risk from a potential self-inflicted crisis over World Cup fallout or Falklands brinkmanship.

Yes5¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$165K Vol5mo

Politics prediction markets

Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

E15 year-round sales

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

Cassidy Hutchinson

Obama federally charged before 2027?

Will any Republican member of Congress calls on Trump to be removed as President through the 25th amendment before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Will any federal appellate court (including the U.S. Supreme Court) rule reverses or vacates the district court's November 24, 2025 order dismissing the indictment of James Comey, such that the criminal prosecution may proceed? — Before 2027

Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

Will legislation that makes “Department of War” the official statutory name of the United States Department of Defense become law before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?

Will Xi Jinping leave General Secretary of the Communist Party of China before Jan 1, 2027?

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

Will Donald Trump meet in person Reza Pahlavi before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before Jan 20, 2029? — Before Jan 20, 2029

Will the U.S. national debt hit $40 trillion before 2027?

Will legislation extending or reinstating (if expired) enhanced ACA premium tax credits becomes law before Jan 1, 2027? — Before 2027

Will the U.S. national debt hit $41 trillion before 2027?

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 50 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027? — Above 50

Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 90 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027? — Above 90

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2030? — Before 2030