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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 218 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3907 US elections 2788 Foreign politics 428 Political Leader Tenure 356 Future US Presidents 225 US Political Timelines 205 Leader Tenure Predictions 119 US Political Future 107 Presidential Candidacy 75 US Political Milestones ✨ 31 Person of the Year Awards 13 Sports & Political Leadership 9

6,145 markets · page 218 of 257

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Michigan 09 House General Election be above 380000? — Above 380K

Yes70¢

No31¢

Yes ≈ 70% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

‹ Prev1…216217218219220…257Next ›

Memorial Circle Triumphal Arch (Arc de Trump) Inaugurated by Trump?

Yes23¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

Ɱ127 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Michigan 09 House General Election be above 400000? — Above 400K

Yes55¢

No45¢

Yes ≈ 55% chance

$6 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Donald trump turn into a transgender lgbtq+ alien aka femboy and kill everybody in the world and resurrect epstein

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ985 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Michigan 09 House General Election be above 420000? — Above 420K

Yes48¢

No53¢

Yes ≈ 48% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump die in prison?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ13.4K Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Michigan 09 House General Election be above 440000? — Above 440K

Yes38¢

No63¢

Yes ≈ 38% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Labor and the Greens hold a majority of seats in the Australian Senate after the next election?

Yes59¢

No41¢

Yes ≈ 59% chance

Ɱ100 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Michigan 11 House General Election be above 380000? — Above 380K

Yes79¢

No21¢

Yes ≈ 79% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

By 2029, will there be an FDA approval of GLP-1 for a substance use disorder?

Yes50¢

No50¢

Yes ≈ 50% chance

Ɱ2.4K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Michigan 11 House General Election be above 400000? — Above 400K

Yes64¢

No37¢

Yes ≈ 64% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

If Trump wins the 2024 election, will his VP pick become president before the 2028 election?

Yes20¢

No80¢

Yes ≈ 20% chance

Ɱ383 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Michigan 11 House General Election be above 420000? — Above 420K

Yes50¢

No51¢

Yes ≈ 50% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

👍👎 Manifold Leadership Approval Rating [Market Index]

The market is slightly bearish on Manifold Leadership approval, but the only recent headline is a niche industrial market analysis, meaning the odds are likely driven by general political sentiment rather than any specific event.

Yes45¢

No55¢

Yes ≈ 45% chance

Ɱ1.1M Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Michigan 11 House General Election be above 440000? — Above 440K

Yes35¢

No66¢

Yes ≈ 35% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

During Trump's presidency, which types of unemployment will reach new highs?

U-115¢

5 outcomes

Ɱ22.2K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Michigan 11 House General Election be above 460000? — Above 460K

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

$378 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Dulles International Airport be renamed to include Trump by the end of 2028?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

Ɱ2.3K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Michigan 12 House General Election be above 300000? — Above 300K

Yes71¢

No30¢

Yes ≈ 71% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

If Donald Trump wins the presidency in 2024, will Joe Biden win in 2028?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

Ɱ3.2K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Michigan 12 House General Election be above 310000? — Above 310K

Yes58¢

No42¢

Yes ≈ 58% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize by the end of 2028?

The market sees Trump's Nobel Peace Prize chances as extremely low (6%) because his recent military actions in Iran and the controversial nature of the FIFA Peace Prize—a separate award created for him—have overshadowed any traditional peacemaking credentials, making a Nobel win before 2028 highly unlikely.

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

Ɱ101K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Michigan 12 House General Election be above 330000? — Above 330K

Yes44¢

No56¢

Yes ≈ 44% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will any Trump leave the Republican Party?

Yes48¢

No52¢

Yes ≈ 48% chance

Ɱ225 Vol▲ 0pts3y