Politics prediction markets
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
AllUS governance 3915US elections 2801Foreign politics 437Political Leader Tenure 356Future US Presidents 228US Political Timelines 204Leader Tenure Predictions 118US Political Future 107Presidential Candidacy 75Person of the Year Awards 14Sports & Political Leadership 10
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Will Donald Trump visit Germany before Jan 1, 2027?
The market sees a Trump visit to Germany as unlikely (37%) due to severely strained US-German relations, negative international perception of Trump, and lack of any positive diplomatic signals, but the residual probability reflects the possibility of a campaign or business trip.
Yes39¢
No61¢
Yes ≈ 39% chance
$17.3K Vol 0pts5mo