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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 3 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3786 US elections 2657 Foreign politics 400 Political Leader Tenure 336 Future US Presidents 215 US Political Timelines 201 Leader Tenure Predictions 113 US Political Future 105 Presidential Candidacy 71 US Political Milestones ✨ 30 Person of the Year Awards 12 Sports & Political Leadership 10

404 markets · page 3 of 17

Kalshi

Open

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027? — Before Apr 1, 2027

Yes22¢

No78¢

Yes ≈ 22% chance

$174 Vol8mo

Polymarket

Open

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Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by July 31, 2026?

Yes1¢

No100¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$4.1K Vol4d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?

Yes66¢

No34¢

Yes ≈ 66% chance

Ɱ2.2K Vol2y

Kalshi

Open

Will Sara Duterte be out as Vice President of the Philippines before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Yes41¢

No59¢

Yes ≈ 41% chance

$3.9K Vol5mo

Polymarket

Open

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31?

Yes39¢

No61¢

Yes ≈ 39% chance

$196 Vol▼ 18pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

WIll Mykhailo Fedorov become the next President of Ukraine?

Yes29¢

No71¢

Yes ≈ 29% chance

Ɱ94 Vol3y

Kalshi

Open

Will any Republican member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment before 2027? — Before 2027

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

$73.6K Vol5mo

Polymarket

Open

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by July 31? — July 31, 2026

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$2.7K Vol4d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Donald Trump serve a full term?

Yes75¢

No25¢

Yes ≈ 75% chance

Ɱ257 Vol2y

Kalshi

Open

Will any Republican member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment before 2029? — Before Jan 20, 2029

Yes53¢

No47¢

Yes ≈ 53% chance

$1K Vol2y

Polymarket

Open

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$82.6K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will JD Vance be President of the USA during the 2028 Olympics

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

Ɱ1.7K Vol1y

Kalshi

Open

Ending Jun 4, 2029

Yes66¢

No34¢

Yes ≈ 66% chance

$20.1K Vol2y

Polymarket

Open

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$105K Vol▲ 1pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump’s second presidential term NOT end exactly on January 20, 2029, due to war, emergency, impeachment, or other

Yes25¢

No75¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

Ɱ270 Vol2y

Kalshi

Open

Will Bernie Sanders run for President of The United States? — Before November 4, 2028

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

$20.8K Vol2y

Polymarket

Open

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$19.2K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Hillary Clinton ever be elected President?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

Ɱ6.7K Vol—

Kalshi

Open

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

$426 Vol5mo

Polymarket

Open

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? — December 31, 2026

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$21.7K Vol▼ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will AOC be elected President in 2028?

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

Ɱ2K Vol2y

Polymarket

Open

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

Yes6¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$30.9K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027? — Before Jul 1, 2027

Yes30¢

No70¢

Yes ≈ 30% chance

$465 Vol11mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Mr. Beast run for President of the United States before EOY 2040?

Yes23¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

Ɱ1.8K Vol14y