Politics prediction markets
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
6,500 markets · page 36 of 271
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
6,500 markets · page 36 of 271
Yes ≈ 16% chance
Yes ≈ 31% chance
Yes ≈ 71% chance
The market is heavily concentrated on 'Never' at 91%, reflecting a widespread belief that the political and procedural barriers to a Senate conviction remain insurmountable, despite recent headlines suggesting impeachment talk is growing among Democrats if they win the midterms.
7 outcomes
Yes ≈ 79% chance
Yes ≈ 2% chance
Yes ≈ 94% chance
Yes ≈ 5% chance
Yes ≈ 45% chance
Yes ≈ 27% chance
Yes ≈ 26% chance
Yes ≈ 16% chance
Yes ≈ 17% chance
Yes ≈ 89% chance
18 outcomes