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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 68 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3792 US elections 2666 President ✨ 754 Foreign politics 400 Future US Presidents 215 US Political Timelines 201 Leader Tenure Predictions 113 Presidential Candidacy 71 Person of the Year Awards 12

4,791 markets · page 68 of 200

Kalshi

Open

Mandela Barnes

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

$1.8K Vol▲ 0pts15d

Polymarket

Open

‹ Prev1…6667686970…200Next ›

François Hollande

Yes31¢

No69¢

Yes ≈ 31% chance

$8.2K Vol8mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Gavin Newsom be the Presidential or Vice Presidential candidate for the Democrats in 2028?

Yes30¢

No70¢

Yes ≈ 30% chance

Ɱ297 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

2028 Democratic Presidential ticket

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Andy Beshear9¢

25 outcomes

$10.5K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Raphaël Glucksmann

Yes60¢

No41¢

Yes ≈ 60% chance

$7.2K Vol▼ 2pts8mo

Manifold· Play

Open

If Zack Polanski is not leader of the Green Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Green?

The market is near-certain that the Green Party will not produce a Prime Minister even if Zack Polanski is not its leader, reflecting the structural impossibility of a Green government rather than any specific leadership dynamics.

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Ɱ1.8K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will someone be nominated for member of the Election Assistance Commission before Aug 1, 2026? — Before Aug 1, 2026

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$257 Vol▲ 0pts5d

Polymarket🔭 2 venues

Open

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Yes96¢

No4¢

Yes ≈ 96% chance

$8.4K Vol▼ 0pts8mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Brazil 2026 Election: Will Lula get more votes than in 2022 (59,563,912) in any round?

Yes47¢

No53¢

Yes ≈ 47% chance

Ɱ393 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Marine Tondelier

Yes27¢

No73¢

Yes ≈ 27% chance

$5.6K Vol8mo

Kalshi

Open

Will someone be nominated for member of the Election Assistance Commission before Oct 1, 2026? — Before Oct 1, 2026

Yes23¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

$246 Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will there be a significant polling error at the 2026 US midterm elections?

Yes57¢

No43¢

Yes ≈ 57% chance

Ɱ390 Vol▲ 0pts4mo

Polymarket

Open

Fabien Roussel

Yes87¢

No13¢

Yes ≈ 87% chance

$3.6K Vol▲ 1pts8mo

Kalshi

Open

Will someone be nominated for member of the Election Assistance Commission before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Yes36¢

No64¢

Yes ≈ 36% chance

$362 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Lula be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes91¢

No9¢

Yes ≈ 91% chance

Ɱ5.2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Dominique de Villepin

Yes37¢

No63¢

Yes ≈ 37% chance

$9.1K Vol8mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach 270 electoral votes before 2030? — Before 2030

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$807 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Manifold· Play

Open

If the Republican party wins the 2024 US election, will Ukraine recover all its territory by Feb 2029?

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

Ɱ6.9K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

François Asselineau

Yes21¢

No80¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

$8.3K Vol▼ 0pts8mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach 270 electoral votes before 2028? — Before 2028

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

$275 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Trump endorses the eventual winner of the 2028 GOP presidential nomination

Yes67¢

No33¢

Yes ≈ 67% chance

Ɱ890 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Clémentine Autain

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$1.6K Vol▼ 0pts8mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach 270 electoral votes before 2032? — Before 2032

Yes33¢

No67¢

Yes ≈ 33% chance

$440 Vol▲ 0pts5y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will any of Joe Biden's presidential pardons be legally nullified before the end of Trump's term?

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

Ɱ3.1K Vol▲ 0pts2y