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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 9 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3881 US elections 2765 Foreign politics 427 Political Leader Tenure 354 Future US Presidents 225 US Political Timelines 203 Leader Tenure Predictions 117 US Political Future 107 Presidential Candidacy 75 Person of the Year Awards 13 Sports & Political Leadership 10

4,903 markets · page 9 of 205

Manifold· Play

Open

Troy Jackson wins 2026 US Senate election in Maine?

Yes65¢

No35¢

Yes ≈ 65% chance

Ɱ3K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Futuur

Open

‹ Prev1…7891011…205Next ›

Winner of Clacton’s by-election

Yes90¢

No10¢

Yes ≈ 90% chance

▲ 0pts17d

Kalshi

Open

Alaska Governor-Senate combo

Democrats sweep37¢

4 outcomes

$29.5K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Smarkets

Open

Quebec General Election Winner

PQ71¢

3 outcomes

£1 Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Polymarket

Open

2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner

BN54¢

22 outcomes

$23.5K Vol▲ 2pts6d

Manifold· Play

Open

Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Georgia?

The field is effectively a two-party contest, but the Libertarian Party's removal from the ballot (AJC.com, Jul 11) eliminates a potential spoiler and runoff trigger, making a Democratic win more straightforward and likely explaining the 90% odds.

Democratic90¢

2 outcomes

Ɱ111K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Futuur

Open

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo75¢

4 outcomes

▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

2028 Presidential matchup

Gavin Newsom v. Marco Rubio11¢

16 outcomes

$218K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Smarkets

Open

German State Elections — Berlin State Election Winner

SPD4¢

6 outcomes

£1 Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Polymarket

Open

MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Cori Bush54¢

18 outcomes

$97.2K Vol▼ 6pts8d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a Democrat win these US House races in 2026?

Washington 897¢

68 outcomes

Ɱ40.4K Vol▲ 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Arizona Governor winner?

Katie Hobbs81¢

2 outcomes

$431K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Smarkets

Open

2026 Swedish General Election - Next Swedish Prime Minister

Magdalena Andersson81¢

2 outcomes

▲ 0pts1mo

Polymarket

Open

Alaska Governor Election Winner

Tom Begich36¢

40 outcomes

$1.1M Vol▼ 1pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

The race to succeed Nancy Pelosi is a two-person contest between Scott Wiener (69%) and Connie Chan (30%), with no recent headlines directly affecting the race. The field is highly concentrated, and the biggest recent shift is the solidification of Wiener's lead, though no headline explains this move.

Scott Wiener69¢

9 outcomes

Ɱ1.4M Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will James Fishback receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary? — At least 20%

James Fishback's bid for 20% in the Florida Republican primary hinges on a court ruling on his eligibility this Monday; even if he clears that hurdle, Byron Donalds' overwhelming lead makes the threshold a steep climb.

Yes6¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$371K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner

Mike Lindell51¢

36 outcomes

$463K Vol▼ 5pts15d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will there be in a runoff in the 2026 Greater Manchestor mayoral by-election?

Yes51¢

No49¢

Yes ≈ 51% chance

Ɱ92 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Darline Graham Nordone receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? — At least 50%

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$3.1K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner

Jeremy Moss92¢

20 outcomes

$46.2K Vol▼ 0pts8d

Manifold· Play

Open

Who will win the 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election?

Lula64¢

18 outcomes

Ɱ27.3K Vol▼ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

South Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory?

Larry Rhoden, ≥12%92¢

10 outcomes

$17.1K Vol▼ 1pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd Place

Auyl52¢

34 outcomes

$44.1K Vol▲ 0pts28d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic party nominee for president in 2028?

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

Ɱ12.6K Vol▲ 0pts2y