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another @subquadratic twitter announcement about SubQ model family, in 2026?

The market is pricing near-certainty that SubQ will post another Twitter update about its model family in 2026, reflecting the project's active development cycle and recent high-profile claims about a 12-million-token context window.

Yes99¢

No1¢

Yes ≈ 99% chance

Ɱ981 Vol 0pts5mo

Tech prediction markets

another @subquadratic twitter announcement about SubQ model family, in 2026?

China will submit to voluntary caps on compute used in AI training runs by end of 2026

Will significant evidence emerge that Alibaba's ROME AI tried to break free?

By which date will the state-of-the-art LLM use latent space to reason?

High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2040?

AI generates full movie before 2027?

In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?

OpenAI reaches $100B revenue in 2028?

Anthropic Removes Claude Code From Every Plan Except Max in 2026

Will AI be Time's person of the year in 2025, 2026 or 2027?

Will OpenAI be ordered to pay fines in California for releasing Codex 5.3 without sufficient cyber safeguards?

Will the SotA open-source AI model in July 2026 use Test-Time Training?

AI to solve "Sparse Adversarial Perturbations" from HCAST-Public by 2027?

1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.

Claude 3 Opus model weights publicly available by EOY 2030?

Will Chat GPT remove or hide their 'ai can make mistakes' disclaimer from website page at any point by the end of 2026?

AI Warning Signs: Will a tool that can easily generate generative AI deepfakes be broadly accessible before 2030?

Will OpenAI ship a hardware device in 2026?

Will Anthropic, before 2035, completely halt development of AI and attempt to persuade other organizations to do so?

AI will run a $1bn+ outperforming market hedge fund by 2030 where I am 80% sure that AI is doing ~all functions

Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2029?

Interaction Company of California (creator of Poke AI assistant) acquired before 2028?

Will Quarterly Capex Spend among AI Hyperscalers decrease before 2028?

Will Tesla start selling a vehicle using a new "AI 5" computer by the end of Q3 2027?