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Tech prediction markets & live odds — page 12 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Tech prediction markets

AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

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All AI 2354 Tech Company Valuations 875 Big tech & chips 602 Space 445 Science 264 Through 40 Elevator 15 Software Engineering Trends 14 Space Development 9 Space Tech & Exploration ✨ 8 Software Industry Trends 5 Streamer 2

2,585 markets · page 12 of 108

Kalshi

Open

next Claude Opus debut score? — Above 1485

Yes50¢

No50¢

Yes ≈ 50% chance

$111 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

‹ Prev1…1011121314…108Next ›

AI generated text will be permitted without restriction at all 10 of the highest ranked universities by the end of the decade (<2030)

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ3.5K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of August?

Google91¢

31 outcomes

$7.7K Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Kalshi

Open

next Claude Opus debut score? — Above 1495

Yes34¢

No67¢

Yes ≈ 34% chance

▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? — 50%+

Yes38¢

No63¢

Yes ≈ 38% chance

$723 Vol▼ 2pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

OpenAI tender offer (or equivalent) before 2027-01-01 at >$20/unit?

Yes55¢

No45¢

Yes ≈ 55% chance

Ɱ100 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

next Claude Opus debut score? — Above 1505

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

$200 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? — 50%+

Yes67¢

No34¢

Yes ≈ 67% chance

$3.3K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Anthropic’s next Sonnet model exceed 65% on terminal bench?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ5.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

next Claude Opus debut score? — Above 1510

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$200 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?

Yes21¢

No80¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

$23.1K Vol25d

Manifold· Play

Open

[MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will AI be blamed for ≥1,000 deaths by end of 2035?

Yes75¢

No25¢

Yes ≈ 75% chance

Ɱ955 Vol▲ 0pts9y

Kalshi

Open

next Claude Opus debut score? — Above 1515

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$1 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?

Yes81¢

No19¢

Yes ≈ 81% chance

$21.9K Vol2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

AI wins FTL using screen input and mouse/keyboard before 2027

Yes25¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

Ɱ779 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Aug 1, 2026? — Before Aug 1, 2026

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$243K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Polymarket

Open

Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?

Yes82¢

No18¢

Yes ≈ 82% chance

$542 Vol▲ 10pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

With in the decade the Will Be ai based Influencer personality with at least one million subscribers on YouTube or X?

Yes74¢

No26¢

Yes ≈ 74% chance

Ɱ70 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Nov 1, 2026? — Before Nov 1, 2026

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$178K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?

Yes96¢

No4¢

Yes ≈ 96% chance

$16K Vol▲ 2pts1d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will OpenAI IPO by 2030?

Yes94¢

No6¢

Yes ≈ 94% chance

Ɱ5.7K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Oct 1, 2026? — Before Oct 1, 2026

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$111K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Polymarket

Open

Which company has the #2 AI model end of July? (Style Control On)

Anthropic97¢

26 outcomes

$64.3K Vol▼ 1pts4d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Sam Altman cease to be CEO of OpenAI before the end of 2026?

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

Ɱ1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo