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Tech prediction markets & live odds — page 12 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Tech prediction markets

AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

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All AI 2329 Tech Company Valuations 863 Big tech & chips 599 Space 437 Science 259 Through 40 Elevator 15 Software Engineering Trends 14 Space Development 9 Space Tech & Exploration ✨ 8 Software Industry Trends 5 Streamer 2

1,292 markets · page 12 of 54

Kalshi

Open

Will the United States have at least 4,900 data centers listed in 2026? — At least 4,900

Yes79¢

No21¢

Yes ≈ 79% chance

$2.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

‹ Prev1…1011121314…54Next ›

Open

Will a SotA AI model be trained to think in "neuralese" instead of human language by the end of 2030? (ACX, AI 2027 #5)

Yes73¢

No27¢

Yes ≈ 73% chance

Ɱ2.5K Vol▲ 0pts4y

Polymarket

Open

Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?

Yes81¢

No19¢

Yes ≈ 81% chance

$21.9K Vol▲ 1pts2mo

Kalshi

Open

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that general access to Fable 5 is disabled for US customers before Aug 31, 2026? — Before Aug 31, 2026

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$7.5K Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will American opinion of AI improve in 2026, according to Gallup?

Yes28¢

No72¢

Yes ≈ 28% chance

Ɱ306 Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Elon post "IPO" on X this week?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$469 Vol▼ 43pts16h

Kalshi

Open

Will Taylor Swift be in the Top 5 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?

Yes21¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

$6.8K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Daily LLM assistant personal usage exceeds 2 hours for >10% of users on any platform by end-2026?

Yes52¢

No48¢

Yes ≈ 52% chance

Ɱ152 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?

Yes82¢

No19¢

Yes ≈ 82% chance

$542 Vol▲ 10pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will a human case of Ebola disease in South Sudan be reported before Oct 1, 2026?

Yes33¢

No67¢

Yes ≈ 33% chance

$857 Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will AI double the human lifespan within 5 years? (Before february 2030)

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ6.1K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

Will Elon post "Tesla" on X this week?

Yes72¢

No28¢

Yes ≈ 72% chance

$147 Vol▲ 30pts7d

Kalshi🔭 2 venues

Open

Will there be more than 3000 measles cases in 2026? — Above 3000

Yes90¢

No10¢

Yes ≈ 90% chance

$21K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Elon Musk96¢

37 outcomes

$1.9M Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a human walk on Mars before 2032?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ7K Vol▲ 0pts5y

Kalshi

Open

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Oct 1, 2026? — Before October

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$17.6K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Polymarket

Open

Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80? — $80+

Yes8¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$28.3K Vol▲ 1pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for Sale General Availability (GA) by 2026?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ3.5K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Sep 1, 2026? — Before Sep 1, 2026

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$160K Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Polymarket

Open

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Yes85¢

No15¢

Yes ≈ 85% chance

$109K Vol▼ 1pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Gaza be in the news in 2026 [Google trends]?

Yes69¢

No31¢

Yes ≈ 69% chance

Ɱ934 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? — Above 13

Yes88¢

No12¢

Yes ≈ 88% chance

$996 Vol▲ 0pts12d

Polymarket

Open

Head-mounted display

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$13.4K Vol▲ 3pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Google owns >20% of Anthropic by EOY 2026?

Yes31¢

No69¢

Yes ≈ 31% chance

Ɱ384 Vol▲ 0pts5mo