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Tech prediction markets & live odds — page 13 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Tech prediction markets

AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

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All AI 2361 Tech Company Valuations 881 Big tech & chips 602 Space 450 Science 266 Through 40 Elevator 15 Software Engineering Trends 14 Space Development 9 Space Tech & Exploration ✨ 8 Software Industry Trends 5 Streamer 2

1,309 markets · page 13 of 55

Kalshi

Open

Will there be more than 10000 measles cases in 2026? — Above 10000

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$149K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

‹ Prev1…1112131415…55Next ›

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

$81.8K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Gaza be in the news in 2026 [Google trends]?

Yes69¢

No31¢

Yes ≈ 69% chance

Ɱ934 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Timothée Chalamet

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

$329 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

140-15956¢

7 outcomes

$318K Vol▼ 1pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Zohran Mamdani

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$745 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Google owns >20% of Anthropic by EOY 2026?

Yes31¢

No69¢

Yes ≈ 31% chance

Ɱ384 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Video game / Videogame

Yes23¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

$93 Vol▼ 21pts7d

Kalshi

Open

Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

$114K Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Will an AI simulate human consciousness by 2100?

Yes75¢

No25¢

Yes ≈ 75% chance

Ɱ301 Vol▲ 0pts—

Polymarket

Open

Will Elon post "Energy" on X this week?

Yes39¢

No62¢

Yes ≈ 39% chance

$91 Vol▼ 5pts7d

Kalshi

Open

Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does? — Before 2035

Yes49¢

No51¢

Yes ≈ 49% chance

$51.4K Vol▲ 0pts8y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will more US AI models be subject to US export control directives by the end of 2026?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ11.2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$1.4K Vol▼ 2pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Above 0 New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States during 2026

Yes25¢

No75¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

$14.7K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

If China invades Taiwan, will the ratio of Nvidia market cap to TSMC market cap be greater than 3 after two months?

Yes79¢

No21¢

Yes ≈ 79% chance

Ɱ95 Vol▲ 0pts—

Polymarket

Open

Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026? — Ring

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$11.5K Vol▲ 1pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Aug 1, 2026? — Before August

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$914K Vol▲ 0pts6d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Apple introduce an AI assistant product that can speak and display basic human-like emotions before EOY 2027

Yes63¢

No37¢

Yes ≈ 63% chance

Ɱ105 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? — 50%+

Yes33¢

No68¢

Yes ≈ 33% chance

$1.1K Vol▼ 8pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will any LLM score at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026? — At least 60%

Yes55¢

No45¢

Yes ≈ 55% chance

$1.7K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Elon (parody) asked: in 2050 are you flying on Tesla Airlines?

Yes37¢

No63¢

Yes ≈ 37% chance

Ɱ40 Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? — Above 190

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$37.7K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? — ↑ 1550

Yes26¢

No74¢

Yes ≈ 26% chance

$44.5K Vol5mo