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Sources: Polymarket · Kalshi · Manifold · PredictIt · Hyperliquid · Myriad · Azuro · Limitless · Futuur · ForecastEx · InsightX · XO Market · Smarkets · SX Bet · Metaculus

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Tech prediction markets & live odds — page 16 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Tech prediction markets

AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

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All AI 2267 Tech Company Valuations 792 Big tech & chips 557 Space 404 Science 140 Through 39 Elevator 15 Software Engineering Trends 14 Space Development 9 Space Tech & Exploration ✨ 6 Software Industry Trends 5 Streamer 2

1,130 markets · page 16 of 48

Kalshi

Open

Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $4.26 on Jul 31? — Above $4.26

Yes99¢

No1¢

Yes ≈ 99% chance

$1.3K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

‹ Prev1…1415161718…48Next ›

Will we combat climate change or will we develop ways to combat the damage instead?

Combat affects of climate change with technology.80¢

3 outcomes

Ɱ710 Vol—

Kalshi

Open

Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $5.66 on Jul 31? — Above $5.66

Yes92¢

No8¢

Yes ≈ 92% chance

$448 Vol▲ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

When will the world population shrink year-over-year for the first time?

Before 210086¢

8 outcomes

Ɱ2.2K Vol—

Kalshi

Open

Price to Beat: 6.78

Yes48¢

No52¢

Yes ≈ 48% chance

$100 Vol▲ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

By 2030, will any treatment be shown to increase human lifespan in a randomized controlled trial?

The market is a binary bet with No leading at 64%, reflecting the absence of any published RCT showing lifespan extension in humans as of mid-2026, despite ongoing research into aging interventions.

Yes36¢

No64¢

Yes ≈ 36% chance

Ɱ5.3K Vol3y

Kalshi

Open

Above 20000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026 — Above 20k

Yes34¢

No66¢

Yes ≈ 34% chance

$3.5K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will anyone claim a $250k vulnerability bounty from Apple's Private Cloud Compute Virtual Research Environment by 2028?

Yes50¢

No50¢

Yes ≈ 50% chance

Ɱ102 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $2.26 on Jul 31? — Above $2.26

Yes99¢

No1¢

Yes ≈ 99% chance

$1.3K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Major space agency funds research into Dyson Swarm technology by 2030?

Yes33¢

No68¢

Yes ≈ 33% chance

Ɱ60 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Price to Beat: 2.73

Yes48¢

No52¢

Yes ≈ 48% chance

$100 Vol▲ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

When will cell cultured meat product be easily purchasable in the US?

2028+72¢

5 outcomes

Ɱ3K Vol1y

Kalshi

Open

Price to Beat: 4.55

Yes48¢

No52¢

Yes ≈ 48% chance

$100 Vol▲ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

In which year will the first baby be born as the result of legal germline gene editing?

202715¢

8 outcomes

Ɱ170 Vol9y

Kalshi

Open

Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.63 on Jul 31? — Above $0.63

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$858 Vol▲ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

During what year will the cost of CO2 sequestration per tonne drop by 10x from 2023 prices?

2030s29¢

8 outcomes

Ɱ424 Vol—

Kalshi

Open

Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.73 on Jul 31? — Above $0.73

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$748 Vol▲ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

In 50 years, what will most cosmologists believe the age of the Universe is?

13.787 ± 1 Gy68¢

5 outcomes

Ɱ1.1K Vol—

Kalshi

Open

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? — Above 210

Despite SpaceX's long-term ambition of 10,000 annual launches, the market sees a 93% chance they fall short of 210 in 2026, reflecting operational hurdles like Starship delays and the sheer cadence required.

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$36.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Which of these products will be available to consumers LAST? (Add answers!)

nuclear powered transportation vehicle 71¢

11 outcomes

Ɱ2.3K Vol3y

Kalshi

Open

Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.03 on Jul 31? — Above $0.03

Yes99¢

No1¢

Yes ≈ 99% chance

$194 Vol▲ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Which millenium problem will be solved first?

Navier-Stokes problem37¢

6 outcomes

Ɱ8K Vol—

Kalshi

Open

When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? — Before Aug 28, 2026

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$1.9K Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the first room temperature superconductor be created by humans or AI?

AI81¢

2 outcomes

Ɱ637 Vol4y