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Tech prediction markets & live odds — page 18 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Tech prediction markets

AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

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All AI 2411 Tech Company Valuations 896 Big tech & chips 620 Space 463 Science 271 Through 40 Elevator 15 Software Engineering Trends 14 Space Development 9 Space Tech & Exploration ✨ 8 Software Industry Trends 5 Streamer 2

1,324 markets · page 18 of 56

Kalshi

Open

Above 4000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026 — Above 4k

Yes96¢

No4¢

Yes ≈ 96% chance

$1.2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

‹ Prev1…1617181920…56Next ›

Will a US entity force OpenAI to delete any mainline DALL-E models by the end of 2026?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Ɱ2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? — Phone

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$54.8K Vol▲ 1pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Above 6000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026 — Above 6k

Yes94¢

No6¢

Yes ≈ 94% chance

$1.3K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the construction of the space hotel Voyager Station begin in 2026?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ1.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Elon post "Football" on X this week?

Yes4¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$241 Vol▼ 5pts13h

Kalshi

Open

Above 8000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026 — Above 8k

Yes94¢

No6¢

Yes ≈ 94% chance

$1.7K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will "AI found 12 of 12 OpenSSL zero-days (while cu..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

Ɱ100 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?

Yes7¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$5.2K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Angola be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes16¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

$3K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Sam Altman still be CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2026?

Yes94¢

No6¢

Yes ≈ 94% chance

Ɱ11.8K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?

Yes52¢

No49¢

Yes ≈ 52% chance

$3.1K Vol▼ 1pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Canada be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

$3.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will people be wearing the Apple Vision Pro in public in London by the end of 2026?

Yes8¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ2.6K Vol▲ 0pts4mo

Polymarket

Open

Another Elon baby by December 31?

Yes22¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 22% chance

$596 Vol▼ 2pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Central African Republic

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

$4.6K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will manifold introduce LLM-based spam detection by EOY 2026?

Yes40¢

No60¢

Yes ≈ 40% chance

Ɱ643 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

070¢

6 outcomes

$1.2M Vol▲ 5pts8mo

Kalshi

Open

Will a human case of Ebola disease in China be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$21.9K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Tesla cease to be the most valuable automaker by market cap for any amount of time before the end of 2028?

Yes31¢

No69¢

Yes ≈ 31% chance

Ɱ216 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Next Kimi K model released by September 30, 2026?

Yes42¢

No59¢

Yes ≈ 42% chance

$963 Vol2mo

Kalshi

Open

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Ethiopia be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$3.5K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will science make human beings biologically immortal in future?

Yes89¢

No11¢

Yes ≈ 89% chance

Ɱ429 Vol▲ 0pts—

Polymarket

Open

Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Yes13¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

$8.2K Vol5mo