Tech prediction markets
AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.
822 markets · page 20 of 35
Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $7.67 by Dec 31? — Above $7.67
Yes ≈ 54% chance
AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.
822 markets · page 20 of 35
Yes ≈ 54% chance
Yes ≈ 99% chance
Yes ≈ 99% chance
Yes ≈ 99% chance
Yes ≈ 99% chance
Yes ≈ 98% chance
Yes ≈ 98% chance
Yes ≈ 92% chance
Yes ≈ 85% chance
Yes ≈ 76% chance
Yes ≈ 79% chance
Yes ≈ 78% chance
Yes ≈ 67% chance
Yes ≈ 56% chance
Yes ≈ 36% chance
Yes ≈ 27% chance
Yes ≈ 25% chance
Despite headlines showing Anthropic's Mythos 5 already deployed by FIS, the market sees a near-zero chance of a 'Mythos' release by Aug 1, suggesting traders interpret the market as referring to a different model or a specific public launch that hasn't occurred.
Yes ≈ 1% chance
Yes ≈ 10% chance
Yes ≈ 7% chance
Yes ≈ 93% chance
Yes ≈ 79% chance
Yes ≈ 31% chance