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Tech prediction markets & live odds — page 20 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Tech prediction markets

AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

🔭 Compare tech odds across venues →

All AI 2449 Tech Company Valuations 913 Big tech & chips 628 Space 476 Science 284 Through 40 Elevator 15 Software Engineering Trends 14 Space Tech & Exploration ✨ 9 Space Development 9 Software Industry Trends 5 Streamer 2

1,341 markets · page 20 of 56

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Microsoft acquire Valve / Steam by the end of 2026?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

Ɱ1.2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

‹ Prev1…1819202122…56Next ›

Will a human case of Ebola disease in China be reported before Oct 1, 2026?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$177 Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Polymarket

Open

Clip-on device for clothing

Yes12¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$26.6K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will there be an expert-player-beating AI in civ 6 by 2026?

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

Ɱ1.5K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Ethiopia be reported before Oct 1, 2026?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$19 Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Polymarket

Open

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Yes95¢

No6¢

Yes ≈ 95% chance

$147K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will AI impersonation on social media cause a minimum of $50M+ in reported US corporate losses in 2026?

Yes76¢

No24¢

Yes ≈ 76% chance

Ɱ407 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will a human case of Ebola disease in India be reported before Oct 1, 2026?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

▲ 0pts2mo

Polymarket

Open

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31? — ↑ 1540

Yes25¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

$522 Vol▲ 1pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

[ACX 2026] Will SpaceX successfully refuel a Starship in orbit during 2026?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ20.8K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Kenya be reported before Oct 1, 2026?

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

$62 Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Polymarket

Open

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$121K Vol8mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a Russian-developed LLM reach the top 100 on LMSYS Chatbot Arena by end of 2026?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ4.6K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Nigeria be reported before Oct 1, 2026?

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

$301 Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Polymarket

Open

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Yes10¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$178K Vol▼ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

will india have a mars space mission in 2026

Yes11¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

Ɱ273 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Somalia be reported before Oct 1, 2026?

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$25 Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Elon Musk's AI Company (xAI) exceed OpenAI in valuation anytime before 2035?

Yes26¢

No74¢

Yes ≈ 26% chance

Ɱ16.3K Vol▲ 0pts8y

Kalshi

Open

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Tanzania be reported before Oct 1, 2026?

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

$26 Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Polymarket

Open

Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$29.4K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Eliezer Yudkowsky is impressed by a machine learning model, and believes that the model may be very helpful for alignment research, by the end of 2026

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

Ɱ9.9K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will a human case of Ebola disease in United States be reported before Oct 1, 2026?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$3.1K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Polymarket

Open

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?

Despite ongoing speculation about SpaceX IPO and Dogecoin catalysts, the DOGE-1 moon mission was rescheduled in June 2026 with no new date, keeping the probability of a launch by year-end very low at 12%.

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$872K Vol▼ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Meta's reported 2026 full-year AI/data-center capex be at least $130B?

Yes51¢

No49¢

Yes ≈ 51% chance

Ɱ11 Vol▲ 0pts7mo