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Eliezer Yudkowsky is impressed by a machine learning model, and believes that the model may be very helpful for alignment research, by the end of 2026
Despite 87% odds against, Yudkowsky's public stance has not changed; the market is pricing his known skepticism, but a breakthrough in interpretability could shift his view.
Yes13¢
No87¢
Yes ≈ 13% chance
Ɱ9.9K Vol 0pts5mo