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Tech prediction markets & live odds — page 22 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Tech prediction markets

AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

🔭 Compare tech odds across venues →

All AI 2467 Tech Company Valuations 920 Big tech & chips 630 Space 486 Science 289 Through 40 Elevator 15 Software Engineering Trends 14 Space Tech & Exploration ✨ 9 Space Development 9 Software Industry Trends 5 Streamer 2

1,348 markets · page 22 of 57

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Apple launch foldable phones in 2026?

Yes88¢

No12¢

Yes ≈ 88% chance

Ɱ2.5K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

‹ Prev1…2021222324…57Next ›

Above 425000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026 — Above 425k

Yes64¢

No36¢

Yes ≈ 64% chance

$400 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31? — ↑ 1700

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$8.9K Vol▼ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a hardware 3 tesla vehicle get an official hardware FSD upgrade by the end of 2026?

Yes26¢

No74¢

Yes ≈ 26% chance

Ɱ80 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Above 450000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026 — Above 450k

Yes47¢

No53¢

Yes ≈ 47% chance

$1.9K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? — ↑4k

Yes34¢

No66¢

Yes ≈ 34% chance

$191K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2026?

Yes52¢

No49¢

Yes ≈ 52% chance

Ɱ12.6K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Above 500000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026 — Above 500k

Yes31¢

No69¢

Yes ≈ 31% chance

$3K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?

Yes77¢

No23¢

Yes ≈ 77% chance

$25.7K Vol▼ 2pts7mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will human civilization send a space probe to the Alpha Centauri system before 2100?

Yes72¢

No28¢

Yes ≈ 72% chance

Ɱ67 Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Actors: #1 search

Tom Holland10¢

12 outcomes

$294 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Yes11¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

$13.4K Vol▼ 1pts2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will any China-domestic AI chip reach ≥80% of NVIDIA H100 perf on a public benchmark before 2026-12-31?

Yes13¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

Ɱ119 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Movies: #1 search

Obsession45¢

12 outcomes

$58 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Yes7¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$11.4K Vol2mo

Kalshi

Open

Will xAI release Grok 5 before Oct 1, 2026? — Before October

Yes39¢

No61¢

Yes ≈ 39% chance

$10.5K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Anthropic announce a consumer hardware product in 2026?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ768 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Above 0 human H5N1 cases in the United States during 2026

Yes38¢

No62¢

Yes ≈ 38% chance

$1.3K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a Korean win a Nobel Prize in one of the science categories in 2025 or 2026?

Yes25¢

No75¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

Ɱ75 Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

Yes29¢

No71¢

Yes ≈ 29% chance

$18.3K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Above 1 human H5N1 cases in the United States during 2026

Yes34¢

No66¢

Yes ≈ 34% chance

$631 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Apple Vision Pro breaks 50% annual VR/AR device market share through 2026

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Ɱ1.2K Vol▲ 0pts10mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

$16.6K Vol▼ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Above 10 human H5N1 cases in the United States during 2026

Yes16¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

$134 Vol▲ 0pts5mo