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PredictPal is a neutral, third-party aggregator of public prediction-market data. It is informational only — not affiliated with any platform, and it does not facilitate trading or hold funds. Market data is sourced from each platform’s public API and may be delayed.

Sources: Polymarket · Kalshi · Manifold · PredictIt · Hyperliquid · Myriad · Azuro · Limitless · Futuur · ForecastEx · InsightX · XO Market · Smarkets · SX Bet · Metaculus

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Tech prediction markets & live odds — page 7 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Tech prediction markets

AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

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All AI 2403 Tech Company Valuations 893 Big tech & chips 615 Space 462 Science 270 Through 40 Elevator 15 Software Engineering Trends 14 Space Development 9 Space Tech & Exploration ✨ 8 Software Industry Trends 5 Streamer 2

827 markets · page 7 of 35

Kalshi

Open

Will the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $2.71 on Jul 31? — Above $2.71

Yes46¢

No54¢

Yes ≈ 46% chance

$2.6K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

‹ Prev1…56789…35Next ›

Will a Manifest speaker run a direct science funding Organization by mid 2027?

Yes31¢

No69¢

Yes ≈ 31% chance

Ɱ7.7K Vol▲ 0pts11mo

Polymarket

Open

Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? — ↑4k

Yes34¢

No66¢

Yes ≈ 34% chance

$191K Vol▼ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will OpenAI announce the creation of AGI? — Before 2030

Yes40¢

No60¢

Yes ≈ 40% chance

$154K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Manifold· Play

Open

By when will SpaceX re-fly a space-flown Starship?

2030/01/0189¢

15 outcomes

Ɱ15.1K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

$14.4K Vol▼ 2pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before Oct 1, 2026? — Before Oct 1, 2026

Yes65¢

No35¢

Yes ≈ 65% chance

$42.5K Vol▲ 1pts2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Discovery of matter outside our 3D space before 2031?

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

Ɱ975 Vol▲ 0pts4y

Polymarket

Open

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by June 30, 2027?

Yes54¢

No46¢

Yes ≈ 54% chance

$1 Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Atomic Alchemy

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

$41.6K Vol▲ 1pts5d

Polymarket

Open

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2027?

Yes68¢

No32¢

Yes ≈ 68% chance

$43 Vol▲ 15pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2028?

Yes72¢

No28¢

Yes ≈ 72% chance

Ɱ939 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.48 on Jul 31? — Above $0.48

The market is pricing a 59% chance that RTX 5090 compute per hour stays above $0.48 by July 31, driven by NVIDIA's bullish AI demand narrative and a lack of recent negative supply news, but the odds remain tempered by the GPU's high price relative to alternatives and the risk of a late-month price drop.

Yes51¢

No49¢

Yes ≈ 51% chance

$1.6K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Polymarket

Open

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?

Yes87¢

No13¢

Yes ≈ 87% chance

$513 Vol▼ 1pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will AI play a substential role in the discovery of the first room T+P superconductor ?

Yes63¢

No37¢

Yes ≈ 63% chance

Ɱ471 Vol▲ 0pts13y

Kalshi

Open

Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $4.36 on Jul 31? — Above $4.36

The market is heavily confident the B200 compute price will exceed $4.36, driven by AI capacity expansion and new forward-pricing instruments, but the absence of recent negative price signals keeps the odds near 100%.

Yes98¢

No2¢

Yes ≈ 98% chance

$896 Vol▲ 0pts5d

Kalshi

Open

Will the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $2.66 on Jul 31? — Above $2.66

Yes56¢

No44¢

Yes ≈ 56% chance

$832 Vol▲ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

AI: Major scientific discovery by 2030

Yes86¢

No14¢

Yes ≈ 86% chance

Ɱ2.6K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by October 31?

Yes64¢

No36¢

Yes ≈ 64% chance

$490 Vol—

Kalshi

Open

Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028? — Before 2028

Yes65¢

No35¢

Yes ≈ 65% chance

$52.8K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a unified theory of Quantum Gravity usurp the Standard Model before 2045?

Yes57¢

No43¢

Yes ≈ 57% chance

Ɱ188 Vol▲ 0pts18y

Polymarket

Open

Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by December 31?

Yes61¢

No40¢

Yes ≈ 61% chance

$415 Vol▲ 1pts—

Kalshi

Open

Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Aug 31, 2026? — Before Aug 31, 2026

Yes82¢

No18¢

Yes ≈ 82% chance

$5.5K Vol▼ 2pts1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will "Building AI Research Fleets" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ164 Vol▲ 0pts6mo