Skip to content

Discover ✨Ask Topics Community 🎓Learn

PredictPal is a neutral, third-party aggregator of public prediction-market data. It is informational only — not affiliated with any platform, and it does not facilitate trading or hold funds. Market data is sourced from each platform’s public API and may be delayed.

Sources: Polymarket · Kalshi · Manifold · PredictIt · Hyperliquid · Myriad · Azuro · Limitless · Futuur · ForecastEx · InsightX · XO Market · Smarkets · SX Bet · Metaculus

Compare odds across venues·Resolved markets·How it works·Support·Privacy Policy·Terms of Service

Tech prediction markets & live odds — page 98 | PredictPal · PredictPal

💻

Tech prediction markets

AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

🔭 Compare tech odds across venues →

All AI 2321 Tech Company Valuations 857 Big tech & chips 596 Space 432 Science 258 Through 39 Elevator 15 Software Engineering Trends 14 Space Development 9 Space Tech & Exploration ✨ 8 Software Industry Trends 5 Streamer 2

2,552 markets · page 98 of 107

Manifold· Play

Open

Will OpenAI exist in Jan 2027?

Yes96¢

No4¢

Yes ≈ 96% chance

Ɱ15.2K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

‹ Prev1…96979899100…107Next ›

Will an AI system legally act as a healthcare proxy anywhere in the US by 2032?

Yes60¢

No40¢

Yes ≈ 60% chance

Ɱ57 Vol5y

Manifold· Play

Open

SOAI#2: A major AI lab leans back into open-sourcing frontier models to win over the current US administration

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ4.2K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will there be a trend of companies removing "AI-assisted" features from their products before the end of 2026?

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

Ɱ294 Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will OpenAI make a profit in 2025?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ643 Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

AI Warning Signs: Will any country threaten or commit an act of aggression due to an AI capabilities race before 2030?

Yes59¢

No41¢

Yes ≈ 59% chance

Ɱ641 Vol3y

Manifold· Play

Open

AI Companion Gender Gap: Men vs Women Romantic Preference by 2030

Yes46¢

No54¢

Yes ≈ 46% chance

Ɱ133 Vol4y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Anthropic release a system card of a model at a new frontier of intellegence by August 31st?

Yes57¢

No43¢

Yes ≈ 57% chance

Ɱ1.5K Vol1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a GPT-3 quality model be trained for under $10.000 by 2030?

Yes99¢

No1¢

Yes ≈ 99% chance

Ɱ18.9K Vol3y

Manifold· Play

Open

SOAI#6: “AI neutrality” emerges as a foreign policy doctrine as some nations cannot or fail to develop sovereign AI

Yes16¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

Ɱ2.3K Vol4mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a major AI lab announce that the weights of one of its models were compromised in a cyberattack before 2027?

Yes28¢

No72¢

Yes ≈ 28% chance

Ɱ2.1K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will I believe my prediction about AI enabling more SWEs to solve less lucrative problems by shrinking team sizes to have been fulfilled by EoY 2030

Yes68¢

No32¢

Yes ≈ 68% chance

Ɱ219 Vol4y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a critically acclaimed video game feature AI-generated dialogue in 2026?

Yes34¢

No66¢

Yes ≈ 34% chance

Ɱ5.2K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will any of the remaining Clay Millenium problems be solved with substantial help from an AI before 2030?

Yes51¢

No49¢

Yes ≈ 51% chance

Ɱ1.7K Vol3y

Manifold· Play

Open

another @subquadratic twitter announcement about SubQ model family, in 2026?

Yes99¢

No1¢

Yes ≈ 99% chance

Ɱ981 Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

China will submit to voluntary caps on compute used in AI training runs by end of 2026

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ385 Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will significant evidence emerge that Alibaba's ROME AI tried to break free?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Ɱ4.1K Vol1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will there be an AI bubble before 2030?

Yes66¢

No34¢

Yes ≈ 66% chance

Ɱ20.8K Vol3y

Manifold· Play

Open

High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2040?

Yes55¢

No45¢

Yes ≈ 55% chance

Ɱ22.2K Vol13y

Manifold· Play

Open

AI generates full movie before 2027?

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

Ɱ2.8K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?

Yes27¢

No73¢

Yes ≈ 27% chance

Ɱ9.5K Vol1y

Manifold· Play

Open

OpenAI reaches $100B revenue in 2028?

Yes74¢

No26¢

Yes ≈ 74% chance

Ɱ9.6K Vol2y

Manifold· Play

Open

Anthropic Removes Claude Code From Every Plan Except Max in 2026

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

Ɱ542 Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will AI be Time's person of the year in 2025, 2026 or 2027?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Ɱ666 Vol1y