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Kalshi
Open
Will the gold close price be above 3471.99 USD/t.oz on July 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? — Above $3471.99
The market is pricing an overwhelming 93% chance that gold will close above $3,471.99 on July 31, 2026, yet recent headlines show gold is trading far above that level (e.g., forecasts mention $4,165 and $5,200), so the real story is that the threshold is extremely low relative to current prices, making a Yes resolution almost certain unless a catastrophic crash occurs.
Yes96¢
No4¢
Yes ≈ 96% chance
$35 Vol 0pts