Politics prediction markets
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
AllUS governance 3945US elections 2836Foreign politics 451Political Leader Tenure 362Future US Presidents 232US Political Timelines 204Leader Tenure Predictions 118US Political Future 108Presidential Candidacy 77Person of the Year Awards 15Sports & Political Leadership 10
6,196 markets · page 12 of 259
Manifold· Play
Open
What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?
The field is extremely concentrated at 100% for eight outcomes, reflecting a market that has already priced in many of Trump's second-term actions as near-certainties, but the recent headlines suggest a growing narrative of legal and institutional pushback that could challenge these odds.
Trump cancels Biden's AI executive order (EO 14110)100¢
251 outcomes
Ɱ1M Vol 0pts2y