Skip to content

Discover ✨Ask Topics Community 🎓Learn

PredictPal is a neutral, third-party aggregator of public prediction-market data. It is informational only — not affiliated with any platform, and it does not facilitate trading or hold funds. Market data is sourced from each platform’s public API and may be delayed.

Sources: Polymarket · Kalshi · Manifold · PredictIt · Hyperliquid · Myriad · Azuro · Limitless · Futuur · ForecastEx · InsightX · XO Market · Smarkets · SX Bet · Metaculus

Compare odds across venues·Resolved markets·How it works·Support·Privacy Policy·Terms of Service

Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 14 | PredictPal · PredictPal

🏛️

Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3937 US elections 2828 Foreign politics 447 Political Leader Tenure 362 Future US Presidents 231 US Political Timelines 204 Leader Tenure Predictions 118 US Political Future 107 Presidential Candidacy 77 Person of the Year Awards 14 Sports & Political Leadership 10

11,084 markets · browsing the top 10,008 · page 14 of 417

InsightX

Open

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Yes24¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

$2.5M Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

‹ Prev1…1213141516…417Next ›

Will Trump say "Uranium" before Jul 27, 2026?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$39.2K Vol▼ 1pts1d

Manifold· Play

Open

What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms?

The field is dominated by two scenarios — split control (Democratic House, Republican Senate) at 45% and a Democratic sweep at 41% — but recent polls signal a tightening Senate map that is narrowing the gap between them (Delawareonline.com, Jul 22).

Democratic House, Republican Senate43¢

5 outcomes

Ɱ72.1K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$53.9K Vol▼ 1pts5mo

Smarkets

Open

Trump Cabinet - Next To Leave — Next Cabinet Official To Leave In 2026

Lori Chavez-DeRemer100¢

22 outcomes

£14 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Futuur

Open

Winning party in Iowa's gubernatorial election (2026)

Democratic Party61¢

2 outcomes

▲ 0pts3mo

InsightX

Open

Trump out as President by July 31?

Yes0¢

No100¢

Yes ≈ 0% chance

$2.4M Vol▲ 0pts5d

Kalshi

Open

MI-07 Democratic nominee?

William Lawrence81¢

3 outcomes

$377K Vol▲ 5pts1y

Polymarket⚡ Moving fast

Open

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Abdul El-Sayed66¢

20 outcomes

$1.3M Vol▼ 1pts8d

Manifold· Play

Open

Which party will win the 2026 Alaska Senate race?

Democratic party50¢

3 outcomes

Ɱ8.2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Smarkets

Open

Next Federal Election — Party to Provide the Next Prime Minister of Australia

Labor59¢

3 outcomes

£7 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Futuur

Open

Winning party in Nevada's gubernatorial election (2026)

Democratic Party53¢

2 outcomes

▲ 0pts3mo

InsightX

Open

Elon Musk # tweets July 21 - July 28, 2026?

220-2390¢

2 outcomes

$2.4M Vol▲ 0pts2d

Kalshi

Open

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before December 1, 2026? — Before Dec 1, 2026

Despite moderate traffic in June and July, prediction markets are heavily betting against a sustained recovery above the 60-transit threshold by December, with multiple sources indicating the Strait of Hormuz may not return to normal until 2027.

Yes34¢

No66¢

Yes ≈ 34% chance

$356K Vol▲ 2pts4mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will JD Vance assume presidential powers in 2026?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ11.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Smarkets

Open

State Senate Elections — Iowa Senate Election Winner

Republican59¢

2 outcomes

£4 Vol▲ 0pts3mo

InsightX

Open

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Yes100¢

No0¢

Yes ≈ 100% chance

$2.3M Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Futuur

Open

UK election called by ...?

June 30, 202740¢

2 outcomes

▲ 0pts11mo

Kalshi

Open

Karoline / Leavitt

Yes99¢

No1¢

Yes ≈ 99% chance

$30.7K Vol▲ 0pts1d

Polymarket

Open

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

Yes38¢

No63¢

Yes ≈ 38% chance

$854K Vol▼ 10pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Senate race in North Carolina?

Yes89¢

No11¢

Yes ≈ 89% chance

Ɱ5.2K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

InsightX

Open

Iran military action against a gulf state on...?

July 9100¢

2 outcomes

$2.3M Vol▲ 0pts5d

Smarkets

Open

Next Reform Leader

Robert Jenrick33¢

7 outcomes

£4 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Futuur

Open

Winner of Clacton’s by-election

Yes90¢

No10¢

Yes ≈ 90% chance

▲ 0pts17d