Politics prediction markets
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
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Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Despite a signed memorandum of understanding in June 2026, the market heavily discounts it as a 'new nuclear deal' because the agreement is a limited, 60-day test arrangement rather than a comprehensive, binding treaty, and comparisons to the Obama-era JCPOA underscore its weaker terms.
Yes20¢
No80¢
Yes ≈ 20% chance
$1.3M Vol 1pts