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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 15 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3972 US elections 2865 Foreign politics 459 Political Leader Tenure 364 Future US Presidents 234 US Political Timelines 206 Leader Tenure Predictions 121 US Political Future 109 Presidential Candidacy 78 Person of the Year Awards 15 Sports & Political Leadership 10

4,999 markets · page 15 of 209

Kalshi

Open

KS-02 Republican nominee?

Derek Schmidt99¢

2 outcomes

$19K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

CA-34 House Election Winner

‹ Prev1…1314151617…209Next ›

Democratic Party96¢

8 outcomes

$38K Vol▲ 1pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Susan Collins win re-election to Maine's Senate seat in 2026?

Yes36¢

No64¢

Yes ≈ 36% chance

Ɱ5K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

HI-01 Democratic nominee?

Ed Case52¢

4 outcomes

$21.8K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %

Binface 10–20%48¢

5 outcomes

$142K Vol▲ 1pts11mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the Democratic party win more than 240 US house seats in the 2026 election?

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

Ɱ1.2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Sean Combs receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$39.9K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

IL-11 House Election Winner

Democratic Party94¢

8 outcomes

$22.9K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will John Fetterman vote for Trump's nominee to succeed Pam Bondi?

Yes57¢

No43¢

Yes ≈ 57% chance

Ɱ305 Vol▼ 3pts6d

Kalshi

Open

FL-09 Republican nominee?

Thomas Chalifoux49¢

11 outcomes

$16.3K Vol▼ 4pts1y

Polymarket⚡ Moving fast

Open

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra93¢

45 outcomes

$40.4M Vol▼ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Who will become the next governor of California after Gavin Newsom?

The field has collapsed into a two-person race between Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton, with Becerra holding a commanding lead after the June primary winnowed 23 candidates to just two viable contenders, but Hilton's Trump endorsement and UK outsider status inject a wildcard dynamic that could shift if national politics intervene.

Xavier Becerra95¢

23 outcomes

Ɱ178K Vol▲ 0pts11mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Darline Graham Nordone receive at least 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? — At least 25%

Yes78¢

No22¢

Yes ≈ 78% chance

$3K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Olivier Faure be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

$3.4K Vol▲ 3pts8mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Republicans win a 2026 US Senate election in a state Kamala won?

Yes41¢

No60¢

Yes ≈ 41% chance

Ɱ1.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee report more than $25M in cash on hand at the end of Q3? — Above $25M

Yes70¢

No30¢

Yes ≈ 70% chance

$1.2K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Polymarket

Open

South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner

Darline Graham Nordone82¢

21 outcomes

$7.9K Vol▲ 9pts16d

Manifold· Play

Open

Which party wins the 2026 Iowa Governor Election?

Democrats64¢

2 outcomes

Ɱ5.1K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Maryland Governor winner?

Wes Moore95¢

2 outcomes

$12.2K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?

Yes87¢

No13¢

Yes ≈ 87% chance

$22.8K Vol▲ 1pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States midterm election before Nov 4, 2026? — Before Nov 4, 2026

Yes37¢

No63¢

Yes ≈ 37% chance

$108K Vol▲ 1pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Republican Senate seats after 2026 election? (45-55, linear)

Yes48¢

No52¢

Yes ≈ 48% chance

Ɱ877 Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

Zambia Presidential Election Winner

Hakainde Hichilema89¢

30 outcomes

$109K Vol▲ 0pts18d

Kalshi

Open

Next French presidential election winner?

Marine Le Pen38¢

28 outcomes

$238K Vol▲ 0pts1y