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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 189 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3813 US elections 2684 President ✨ 757 Foreign politics 403 Republican ✨ 325 Future US Presidents 215 US Political Timelines 202 Iran ✨ 126 Leader Tenure Predictions 113 Political ✨ 81 Presidential Candidacy 72 Person of the Year Awards 12

6,047 markets · page 189 of 252

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Ted Cruz be a Supreme Court Justice before January 20 2029?

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

Ɱ647 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

‹ Prev1…187188189190191…252Next ›

OH-04 House Election Winner

Republican Party94¢

8 outcomes

$13.4K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 19 House General Election be above 220000? — Above 220K

Yes55¢

No45¢

Yes ≈ 55% chance

$100 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Joe Biden live a longer life than Trump?

The market favors Trump outliving Biden (56% No) despite no health-related headlines, suggesting political narratives—not medical data—are driving the odds. The recent flurry of negative coverage around Biden (Hunter Biden interview, immigration memo) and positive Trump rallies may be reinforcing a perception of Biden as weaker and less resilient.

Yes44¢

No56¢

Yes ≈ 44% chance

Ɱ97.1K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

OH-07 House Election Winner

Republican Party60¢

8 outcomes

$24.2K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 19 House General Election be above 230000? — Above 230K

Yes49¢

No51¢

Yes ≈ 49% chance

$300 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Is the feud between Trump and Musk real?

Yes93¢

No7¢

Yes ≈ 93% chance

Ɱ6.4K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

OH-08 House Election Winner

Republican Party88¢

8 outcomes

$11.1K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 19 House General Election be above 240000? — Above 240K

Yes44¢

No56¢

Yes ≈ 44% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Conditional on Trump being elected in 2024, will the Supreme Court allow him to seek a third term in 2028?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ4.8K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

OH-11 House Election Winner

Democratic Party95¢

8 outcomes

$25.6K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 19 House General Election be above 250000? — Above 250K

Yes36¢

No64¢

Yes ≈ 36% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

OH-12 House Election Winner

Republican Party94¢

8 outcomes

$17K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Donald Trump be physically present in the White House at any point on January 21st 2029?

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

Ɱ10 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 19 House General Election be above 260000? — Above 260K

Yes25¢

No75¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

OH-14 House Election Winner

Republican Party90¢

8 outcomes

$33.6K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

US Senate 2026 """Safe""" Parlay

Yes42¢

No58¢

Yes ≈ 42% chance

Ɱ399 Vol▲ 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 22 House General Election be above 103000? — Above 103K

Yes94¢

No6¢

Yes ≈ 94% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

OH-15 House Election Winner

Republican Party69¢

8 outcomes

$8.2K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump post an image of him as a Hindu deity or priest or Buddha before the end of 2026?

Yes20¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 20% chance

Ɱ333 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 22 House General Election be above 109000? — Above 109K

Yes85¢

No16¢

Yes ≈ 85% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

OK-01 House Election Winner

Republican Party91¢

8 outcomes

$24.8K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will an ICE Agent engage in an "Unjustified" shooting at a U.S. airport before the 2026 DHS Shutdown ends?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

Ɱ3.4K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 22 House General Election be above 114000? — Above 114K

Yes76¢

No24¢

Yes ≈ 76% chance

▲ 0pts1y