Politics prediction markets
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
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Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
The field is moderately concentrated on the low end (≤47 leads at 24%) but six outcomes above 5% indicate real uncertainty; the biggest recent shift is likely the Newsweek report (Jul 24) of polling flips against Republicans in four critical races, pushing the probability of a large loss higher.
≤4724¢
11 outcomes
$2.7M Vol 0pts3mo