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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 216 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3882 US elections 2754 Foreign politics 419 Political Leader Tenure 349 Future US Presidents 224 US Political Timelines 204 Leader Tenure Predictions 119 US Political Future 107 Presidential Candidacy 74 US Political Milestones ✨ 30 Person of the Year Awards 12 Sports & Political Leadership 9

6,113 markets · page 216 of 255

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Maryland 01 House General Election be above 300000? — Above 300K

Yes56¢

No44¢

Yes ≈ 56% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

‹ Prev1…214215216217218…255Next ›

Open

👍👎 Manifold Leadership Approval Rating [Market Index]

The market is slightly bearish on Manifold Leadership approval, but the only recent headline is a niche industrial market analysis, meaning the odds are likely driven by general political sentiment rather than any specific event.

Yes45¢

No55¢

Yes ≈ 45% chance

Ɱ1.1M Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Maryland 01 House General Election be above 310000? — Above 310K

Yes45¢

No55¢

Yes ≈ 45% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

During Trump's presidency, which types of unemployment will reach new highs?

U-115¢

5 outcomes

Ɱ22.2K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Maryland 01 House General Election be above 330000? — Above 330K

Yes33¢

No68¢

Yes ≈ 33% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Dulles International Airport be renamed to include Trump by the end of 2028?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

Ɱ2.3K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Maryland 05 House General Election be above 260000? — Above 260K

Yes79¢

No21¢

Yes ≈ 79% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

If Donald Trump wins the presidency in 2024, will Joe Biden win in 2028?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

Ɱ3.2K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Maryland 05 House General Election be above 280000? — Above 280K

Yes60¢

No40¢

Yes ≈ 60% chance

$5 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize by the end of 2028?

The market sees Trump's Nobel Peace Prize chances as extremely low (6%) because his recent military actions in Iran and the controversial nature of the FIFA Peace Prize—a separate award created for him—have overshadowed any traditional peacemaking credentials, making a Nobel win before 2028 highly unlikely.

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

Ɱ101K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Maryland 05 House General Election be above 290000? — Above 290K

Yes50¢

No51¢

Yes ≈ 50% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will any Trump leave the Republican Party?

Yes48¢

No52¢

Yes ≈ 48% chance

Ɱ225 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Maryland 05 House General Election be above 300000? — Above 300K

Yes36¢

No64¢

Yes ≈ 36% chance

$3 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

If Trump is re-elected in 2024, will he try to hold onto power after 2028?

Yes29¢

No71¢

Yes ≈ 29% chance

Ɱ1.9K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Maryland 05 House General Election be above 320000? — Above 320K

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$370 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Trump completes full second term through January 20, 2029

Yes78¢

No22¢

Yes ≈ 78% chance

Ɱ4.5K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Maine 02 House General Election be above 320000? — Above 320K

Yes84¢

No16¢

Yes ≈ 84% chance

$50 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Maine 02 House General Election be above 330000? — Above 330K

Yes72¢

No28¢

Yes ≈ 72% chance

$50 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Large states redistrict before 2026 midterms?

Texas, as well as California or New York98¢

4 outcomes

Ɱ21.6K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Maine 02 House General Election be above 350000? — Above 350K

Yes57¢

No43¢

Yes ≈ 57% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump declare a state no longer part of the US?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ415 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Maine 02 House General Election be above 360000? — Above 360K

Yes46¢

No54¢

Yes ≈ 46% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will any major auction house hold a dedicated NFT auction during Art Basel Miami 2026?

Yes37¢

No64¢

Yes ≈ 37% chance

Ɱ160 Vol▲ 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Maine 02 House General Election be above 380000? — Above 380K

Yes33¢

No68¢

Yes ≈ 33% chance

▲ 0pts1y