Politics prediction markets
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
AllUS governance 3942US elections 2823Foreign politics 441Political Leader Tenure 358Future US Presidents 228US Political Timelines 205Leader Tenure Predictions 120US Political Future 107Presidential Candidacy 75US Political Milestones ✨ 32Person of the Year Awards 14Sports & Political Leadership 9
6,173 markets · page 221 of 258
Manifold· Play
Open
👍👎 Manifold Leadership Approval Rating [Market Index]
The market is slightly bearish on Manifold Leadership approval, but the only recent headline is a niche industrial market analysis, meaning the odds are likely driven by general political sentiment rather than any specific event.
Yes45¢
No55¢
Yes ≈ 45% chance
Ɱ1.1M Vol 0pts—