Skip to content

Discover ✨Ask Topics Community 🎓Learn

PredictPal is a neutral, third-party aggregator of public prediction-market data. It is informational only — not affiliated with any platform, and it does not facilitate trading or hold funds. Market data is sourced from each platform’s public API and may be delayed.

Sources: Polymarket · Kalshi · Manifold · PredictIt · Hyperliquid · Myriad · Azuro · Limitless · Futuur · ForecastEx · InsightX · XO Market · Smarkets · SX Bet · Metaculus

Compare odds across venues·Resolved markets·How it works·Support·Privacy Policy·Terms of Service

Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 32 | PredictPal · PredictPal

🏛️

Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3846 US elections 2715 President ✨ 763 Foreign politics 415 Republican ✨ 328 Future US Presidents 217 US Political Timelines 202 Iran ✨ 127 Leader Tenure Predictions 115 Political ✨ 83 Presidential Candidacy 73 Person of the Year Awards 12

934 markets · page 32 of 39

Manifold· Play

Open

Will trump somehow be president for more than 8 years?

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

Ɱ622 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

‹ Prev1…3031323334…39Next ›

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ever be US President?

Yes16¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

Ɱ3.1K Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a US president die in office before the US adds another state

Yes79¢

No21¢

Yes ≈ 79% chance

Ɱ198 Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Kamala Harris be the first woman president of the USA before the end of 2028?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ28.5K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the first elected female President be right-wing?

Yes48¢

No52¢

Yes ≈ 48% chance

Ɱ302 Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Sam Altman become president of the United States?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ401 Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Mr. Beast run for president before the end of 2070?

Yes40¢

No60¢

Yes ≈ 40% chance

Ɱ236 Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Kamala Harris be president sometime in the 2025-2029 presidential term?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

Ɱ20.1K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a male be elected US vice president in 2028?

Yes85¢

No15¢

Yes ≈ 85% chance

Ɱ253 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Bryan Johnson run for President of the USA in the 21st century?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ275 Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Alex Jones ever be elected President?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Ɱ2.9K Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Vermin Supreme continue his streak of running for President through the 2032 election?

Yes58¢

No42¢

Yes ≈ 58% chance

Ɱ71 Vol▲ 0pts6y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Lex Fridman interview Vladimir Putin while he is still Russia's president?

Yes8¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ35.6K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Zuckerberg run for US president in 2028

The market heavily discounts a Zuckerberg 2028 run, treating his recent Trump-aligned moves as calculated corporate survival—not the foundation of a White House bid—given the immense personal and professional cost of a campaign.

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ89.8K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Rafał Trzaskowski ever become the President of Poland?

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

Ɱ3.5K Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Ivanka Trump be elected President in 2028?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Ɱ1.4K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Barron Trump be elected President in 2044?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Ɱ712 Vol▲ 0pts18y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will more women than men be U.S. president in 2025 through 2052?

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

Ɱ1.3K Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Will China have its first female General Secretary before Russia has its first female President?

Yes36¢

No64¢

Yes ≈ 36% chance

Ɱ191 Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Mike Pence ever be elected President?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ534 Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Catalonia's self-exiled former president, Carles Puigdemont, return to Catalonia a free man before 2030?

Yes96¢

No4¢

Yes ≈ 96% chance

Ɱ685 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will AOC be elected Vice President or President in 2028?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Ɱ822 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Donald Trump establish a new calendar while president?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Ɱ2.6K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Kamala Harris be elected President in 2028?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ1.7K Vol▲ 0pts2y