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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 340 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 4790 US elections 3968 President ✨ 934 Foreign politics 790 Republican ✨ 541 Future US Presidents 270 US Political Timelines 219 Leader Tenure Predictions 151 Political ✨ 109 Presidential Candidacy 89 Person of the Year Awards 18

13,236 markets · browsing the top 10,008 · page 340 of 417

Kalshi

Open

Will the independence of the judiciary be weakened during Trump's term? — Before 2029

Yes22¢

No78¢

Yes ≈ 22% chance

$2.7K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

‹ Prev1…338339340341342…417Next ›

If the filibuster is abolished in the USA senate, will the Democrats be the majority at the time?

Yes50¢

No50¢

Yes ≈ 50% chance

Ɱ152 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Will Donald Trump visit Hawaii in 2026?

Yes25¢

No75¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

$600 Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

During his presidential term

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

$14.7K Vol▲ 0pts5y

Manifold· Play

Open

Democratic Trifecta in 2028? (Win House, Senate and Presidency)

Yes54¢

No46¢

Yes ≈ 54% chance

Ɱ614 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Will Donald Trump visit Idaho in 2026?

Yes48¢

No52¢

Yes ≈ 48% chance

$3.2K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the number of distinct countries with which Israel has agreed to normalize relations under a ratified agreement be at least 2 after Issuance and before 2028? — At least 2

Yes34¢

No66¢

Yes ≈ 34% chance

$6 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Century Aluminum's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 0.7 million tonnes?

Yes57¢

No43¢

Yes ≈ 57% chance

Ɱ1.6K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Donald Trump visit Illinois in 2026?

Yes49¢

No52¢

Yes ≈ 49% chance

$2.9K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the number of distinct countries with which Israel has agreed to normalize relations under a ratified agreement be at least 3 after Issuance and before 2028? — At least 3

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$2 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Imran Khan be released from prison before the next American presidential administration?

Yes62¢

No38¢

Yes ≈ 62% chance

Ɱ719 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Will Donald Trump visit Indiana in 2026?

Yes48¢

No53¢

Yes ≈ 48% chance

$45 Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the number of distinct countries with which Israel has agreed to normalize relations under a ratified agreement be at least 4 after Issuance and before 2028? — At least 4

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$2 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Trump dies in office during his 2nd term?

The market sees Trump's death in office as unlikely, but the sudden death of his close ally Lindsey Graham from an aortic dissection and a Guardian report on fatal shootings by immigration officials subtly highlight health and security risks that keep the Yes probability above negligible levels.

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Ɱ87K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the number of distinct countries with which Israel has agreed to normalize relations under a ratified agreement be at least 5 after Issuance and before 2028? — At least 5

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$8 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2028?

The market's 62% Yes reflects the belief that Putin will remain president through 2028, and the recent flurry of diplomacy around ending the Ukraine war actually strengthens his position by removing the biggest threat to his rule.

Yes62¢

No38¢

Yes ≈ 62% chance

Ɱ4.1K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Will Donald Trump visit Kansas in 2026?

The odds of a Trump visit to Kansas have dropped sharply amid legal friction between his administration and the state, plus a key Kansas Republican senator publicly refusing a Trump appointment, suggesting the visit is unlikely despite a prior May encounter that probably did not count as a physical entry into Kansas.

Yes34¢

No66¢

Yes ≈ 34% chance

$630 Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Italian Chamber of Deputies election winner?

Brothers of Italy51¢

5 outcomes

$6.2K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Russia have its first female president before the US?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

Ɱ2.5K Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

Italian Senate election winner?

Brothers of Italy54¢

5 outcomes

$506 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will USA have an authoritarian president who is openly an AI alignment or degrowth proponent by 2044?

Yes26¢

No74¢

Yes ≈ 26% chance

Ɱ554 Vol▲ 0pts17y

Polymarket

Open

Will Donald Trump visit Louisiana in 2026?

Yes48¢

No52¢

Yes ≈ 48% chance

5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Trump be held liable for January 6th in civil court? — Before his term ends

Yes25¢

No75¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

$6.7K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Will Donald Trump visit Maine in 2026?

Yes44¢

No56¢

Yes ≈ 44% chance

$32 Vol5mo