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Sources: Polymarket · Kalshi · Manifold · PredictIt · Hyperliquid · Myriad · Azuro · Limitless · Futuur · ForecastEx · InsightX · XO Market · Smarkets · SX Bet · Metaculus

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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 339 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3813 US elections 2684 President ✨ 757 Foreign politics 403 Republican ✨ 325 Future US Presidents 215 US Political Timelines 202 Iran ✨ 126 Leader Tenure Predictions 113 Political ✨ 81 Presidential Candidacy 72 Person of the Year Awards 12

10,793 markets · browsing the top 10,008 · page 339 of 417

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 21+ pts

Yes66¢

No34¢

Yes ≈ 66% chance

$437 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

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Will "Update on the Alex Bores campaign" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ2.9K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Kentucky Senate Election Winner

Andy Barr (R)92¢

13 outcomes

$15.5K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 23+ pts

Yes57¢

No43¢

Yes ≈ 57% chance

$29 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Andy Burnham lead Labour to the next general election?

Yes75¢

No26¢

Yes ≈ 75% chance

Ɱ575 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

Massachusetts Senate Election Winner

Democrat95¢

13 outcomes

$13.4K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 25+ pts

Yes48¢

No52¢

Yes ≈ 48% chance

$29 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

If Democrats win a trifecta in 2028, will they expand the Supreme Court by 2032

Yes39¢

No61¢

Yes ≈ 39% chance

Ɱ87 Vol▲ 0pts5y

Polymarket

Open

Minnesota Senate Election Winner

Democrat94¢

13 outcomes

$33.7K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 27+ pts

Yes39¢

No61¢

Yes ≈ 39% chance

$29 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Jair Bolsonaro be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential elections?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Ɱ5.1K Vol▲ 0pts4mo

Polymarket

Open

New Jersey Senate Election Winner

Democrat94¢

13 outcomes

$18.9K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 29+ pts

Yes30¢

No70¢

Yes ≈ 30% chance

$29 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Tim Walz be party nominee for president in 2032?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Ɱ5.9K Vol▲ 0pts6y

Polymarket

Open

New Mexico Senate Election Winner

Democrat94¢

13 outcomes

$17.6K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 31+ pts

Yes21¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

$100 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will, as Trump acts more and more outrageously, they "use the 25th to replace him with Vance" who will be "even worse"?

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

Ɱ698 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Oregon Senate Election Winner

Democrat95¢

13 outcomes

$5K Vol▲ 1pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 33+ pts

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

$23 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Putin be President or Prime Minister of Russia when he dies?

Yes83¢

No17¢

Yes ≈ 83% chance

Ɱ3.5K Vol▲ 0pts—

Polymarket

Open

Rhode Island Senate Election Winner

Democrat94¢

13 outcomes

$8.8K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 10+ pts

Yes82¢

No18¢

Yes ≈ 82% chance

$200 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

If Trump wins the 2024 election, will his son Donald Trump Jr run for any public office before the end of 2028?

Yes34¢

No66¢

Yes ≈ 34% chance

Ɱ49 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Tennessee Senate Election Winner

Republican94¢

13 outcomes

$23.6K Vol▲ 0pts3mo