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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 39 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3846 US elections 2715 President ✨ 763 Foreign politics 415 Republican ✨ 328 Future US Presidents 217 US Political Timelines 202 Iran ✨ 127 Leader Tenure Predictions 115 Political ✨ 83 Presidential Candidacy 73 Person of the Year Awards 12

934 markets · page 39 of 39

Manifold· Play

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Will the next Non Republican president abolish ICE?

Yes42¢

No58¢

Yes ≈ 42% chance

Ɱ2.5K Vol▲ 0pts12y

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‹ Prev1…373839

Who will be the next president of France?

Marine Le Pen26¢

36 outcomes

Ɱ41.4K Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Will Kamala Harris ever be elected President?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

Ɱ6.3K Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will China have its first female General Secretary before the US has its first female President?

Yes13¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

Ɱ1.2K Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will Jimmy Carter still hold the record for longest-lived US president at the end of 2075?

Yes78¢

No22¢

Yes ≈ 78% chance

Ɱ192 Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will the next president of USA revert to Gulf of Mexico

Yes43¢

No57¢

Yes ≈ 43% chance

Ɱ157 Vol▲ 0pts6y

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Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2026?

Yes90¢

No10¢

Yes ≈ 90% chance

Ɱ2.7K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Will RSA-2048 encryption be broken before the first female president of the USA?

Yes41¢

No59¢

Yes ≈ 41% chance

Ɱ109 Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will Gavin Newsom run for President in 2028?

Yes92¢

No8¢

Yes ≈ 92% chance

Ɱ1.3K Vol▲ 0pts2y

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Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) be the Democratic nominee for President OR Vice President before the end of 2032?

Yes40¢

No60¢

Yes ≈ 40% chance

Ɱ455 Vol▲ 0pts6y

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will erdogan still be the president of turkey in 2028?

Yes67¢

No33¢

Yes ≈ 67% chance

Ɱ90 Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Will Yulia Navalnaya run for President of Russia before 2030?

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

Ɱ105 Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Conditional on JD Vance being president for at least six months before 2029, will he reduce Trump's tariffs?

Yes69¢

No31¢

Yes ≈ 69% chance

Ɱ80 Vol▲ 0pts2y

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President of Venezuela at the end of 2026

The field is heavily concentrated on Delcy Rodríguez at 83%, but this reflects a post-Maduro caretaker narrative rather than a stable political consolidation; the real contest is whether she can hold power through the end of 2026 or if institutional or opposition challenges break the ruling coalition.

Delcy Rodríguez83¢

7 outcomes

Ɱ121K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Macron president by 2100

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

Ɱ353 Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will Donald Trump serve full term as the President of the USA?

Yes75¢

No25¢

Yes ≈ 75% chance

Ɱ3.3K Vol▲ 0pts2y

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Will Donald Trump stop being US president in 2029?

Yes82¢

No18¢

Yes ≈ 82% chance

Ɱ1.7K Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Will Stephen A. Smith be the Democratic Nominee for President in 2028?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Ɱ13.9K Vol▲ 0pts2y

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Will Taylor Swift be elected President of the United States by 2050

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ2.1K Vol▲ 0pts—

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If MrBeast runs for president before 2045 will he win?

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

Ɱ418 Vol▲ 0pts19y

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Will JD Vance be president of the United States before the end of 2033?

Yes38¢

No62¢

Yes ≈ 38% chance

Ɱ679 Vol▲ 0pts7y

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Will there have been a new president who isn't a Protestant or non denominational Christian by Inauguration Day 2045?

Yes68¢

No32¢

Yes ≈ 68% chance

Ɱ395 Vol▲ 0pts18y