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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 4 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3846 US elections 2715 President ✨ 763 Foreign politics 415 Republican ✨ 328 Future US Presidents 217 US Political Timelines 202 Iran ✨ 127 Leader Tenure Predictions 115 Political ✨ 83 Presidential Candidacy 73 Person of the Year Awards 12

934 markets · page 4 of 39

Polymarket

Open

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?

Yes16¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

$147K Vol▼ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

‹ Prev123456…39Next ›

Will the President be impeached before Sep 1, 2026? — Before Sep 1, 2026

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$62.1K Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump's vice president candidate in 2024 be chosen as the Republican Party's nominee in 2028?

Yes42¢

No58¢

Yes ≈ 42% chance

Ɱ989 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$14.3K Vol▲ 2pts5mo

Kalshi🔭 2 venues

Open

Vladimir Putin

Putin's 88% No odds reflect a stable autocracy with no visible succession mechanism, but the Kazakh president's unprecedented call for a Ukraine war freeze signals growing external pressure that could theoretically trigger a leadership change, though no concrete exit path exists.

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

$658K Vol▼ 1pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will France's next president officially apologize to Algeria for colonization?

Yes43¢

No57¢

Yes ≈ 43% chance

Ɱ24 Vol▲ 0pts5y

Polymarket

Open

Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?

Yes17¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

$4.7K Vol▼ 2pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Emmanuel Macron

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

$75.2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Vladimir Putin be alive and out of custody for at least 7 days after he ceases to be the president of Russia?

Yes36¢

No64¢

Yes ≈ 36% chance

Ɱ281 Vol▲ 0pts—

Polymarket

Open

Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by July 31, 2026?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$4.2K Vol▲ 0pts4d

Kalshi

Open

Will Javier Milei leave President of Argentina before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$5.2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Tucker Carlson

Yes11¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

$16.9K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

WIll Mykhailo Fedorov become the next President of Ukraine?

Yes29¢

No71¢

Yes ≈ 29% chance

Ɱ94 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Will the DOJ claim in federal court that any of President Biden's pardons are void? — Before 2027

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

$12.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$217K Vol▼ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Elon Musk be eligible to be president before 2035?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ959 Vol▲ 0pts8y

Kalshi

Open

Will the President sign more than 1 Executive Orders between Jul 19, 2026 and Jul 25, 2026? — Above 1

Yes99¢

No1¢

Yes ≈ 99% chance

$7.4K Vol▲ 0pts12d

Polymarket

Open

Will Trump say "President Xi" this week?

Yes77¢

No23¢

Yes ≈ 77% chance

$1.2K Vol▲ 11pts7d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Tim Walz run for President in 2028?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ11.7K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, White House Chief of Staff) be impeached before Jan 1, 2028? — Before 2028

Yes69¢

No31¢

Yes ≈ 69% chance

$32.7K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2027?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$9.5K Vol▼ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated to a THIRD term as the US President?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ24.4K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

How many bills will President Trump sign in Jul 2026?

095¢

8 outcomes

$14.7K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Polymarket

Open

Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$3.4K Vol▼ 0pts5mo