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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 5 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3846 US elections 2715 President ✨ 763 Foreign politics 415 Republican ✨ 328 Future US Presidents 217 US Political Timelines 202 Iran ✨ 127 Leader Tenure Predictions 115 Political ✨ 83 Presidential Candidacy 73 Person of the Year Awards 12

934 markets · page 5 of 39

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be elected U.S. president in 2028?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ1.6K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

‹ Prev1…34567…39Next ›

Will the President try to fire the Jerome Powell as either Chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2027? — Before 2027

Yes10¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$67.5K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Which of these republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?

Other50¢

11 outcomes

$6.5K Vol▼ 6pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the Republican Party nominate a woman for president in 2028?

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

Ɱ2.5K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, White House Chief of Staff) be impeached before Jan 1, 2027? — Before 2027

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$44.3K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by July 31? — July 31, 2026

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$2.8K Vol▲ 0pts4d

Manifold· Play

Open

US passes bill to move President's Day to day after Super Bowl During Trump's Second Term

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ3.5K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will Sara Duterte be out as Vice President of the Philippines before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Yes41¢

No59¢

Yes ≈ 41% chance

$3.9K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$50.9K Vol▼ 2pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

If Donald Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election, will he still be the president on January 21st, 2029?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ2.6K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will any Republican member of Congress calls on Trump to be removed as President through the 25th amendment before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$8.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

George Clooney

Yes7¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$5.2K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will JD Vance be President of the USA during the 2028 Olympics

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

Ɱ1.7K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Ending Jun 4, 2029

Yes66¢

No34¢

Yes ≈ 66% chance

$20.1K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes6¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$4.6K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Paul Christiano shake the US president's hand by 2027

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

Ɱ4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the additional 50% tariffs established by President Donald Trump’s three July 20, 2026 Section 338 proclamations begin applying to covered Canadian goods on August 19, 2026 before Aug 20, 2026?

Yes35¢

No65¢

Yes ≈ 35% chance

$802 Vol▲ 0pts24d

Polymarket

Open

Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes8¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$6.8K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a Democrat win Louisiana for President by 2050?

Yes44¢

No56¢

Yes ≈ 44% chance

Ɱ28 Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

JD Vance: Republican, Marco Rubio: Republican

Yes44¢

No56¢

Yes ≈ 44% chance

$7.7K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$10K Vol▼ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Nikki Haley be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Ɱ15.5K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Will the President sign more than 0 Executive Orders between Jul 26, 2026 and Aug 1, 2026? — Above 0

Yes72¢

No28¢

Yes ≈ 72% chance

$44 Vol▲ 0pts19d

Polymarket

Open

Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?

Yes5¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$32.4K Vol5mo