Politics prediction markets
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
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Governor Elections — California Governor Election Winner
The field is effectively a one-candidate race after the primary, with Xavier Becerra at 100% and Steve Hilton at 9%, but the sum over 100% reflects market inefficiency or liquidity issues rather than genuine competition. The single biggest recent shift is Becerra's consolidation to near-certainty following the July 3 primary results, which confirmed his advance as the Democratic nominee (The New York Times, Jul 3).
Xavier Becerra93¢
2 outcomes
£2.6K Vol 0pts3mo