Politics prediction markets
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
The market is pricing near-zero odds of a return to normal traffic by July 31 because recent headlines show tanker crossings at their lowest since May, an Iranian seizure of a Greek tanker, and expert projections that disruption could last 12 months or more — making a six-day recovery virtually impossible.
Yes1¢
No99¢
Yes ≈ 1% chance
$20.9M Vol 0pts