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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 73 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 4098 US elections 2993 Foreign politics 513 Political Leader Tenure 381 Future US Presidents 250 US Political Timelines 210 Leader Tenure Predictions 126 US Political Future 115 Presidential Candidacy 79 US Political Milestones ✨ 35 Person of the Year Awards 17 Sports & Political Leadership 9

5,123 markets · page 73 of 214

Polymarket

Open

Gérald Darmanin

Yes31¢

No69¢

Yes ≈ 31% chance

$210 Vol▲ 1pts9mo

Manifold· Play

Open

‹ Prev1…7172737475…214Next ›

Who will win the 2040 US Presidential elections?

Other86¢

16 outcomes

Ɱ3.5K Vol▲ 0pts14y

Kalshi

Open

François Hollande

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$2 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

François Bayrou

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

$540 Vol▲ 0pts9mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Who will finish top 2 in any state for the 2028 Republican primary for president?

J D Vance53¢

14 outcomes

Ɱ15.2K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will Gabriel Attal qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes16¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

$0 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Bernard Cazeneuve

Yes54¢

No46¢

Yes ≈ 54% chance

$222 Vol9mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Elon Musk be as a candidate for the President of United States in any state in the 2028 election?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ434 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Jordan Bardella

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$127 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Carole Delga announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Yes13¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

$165 Vol9mo

Kalshi

Open

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Yes26¢

No74¢

Yes ≈ 26% chance

$2 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will voter turnout be higher in the 2028 election?

Yes53¢

No47¢

Yes ≈ 53% chance

Ɱ81 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Will Olivier Faure announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Yes29¢

No71¢

Yes ≈ 29% chance

$2K Vol▼ 1pts9mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Marine Le Pen qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes49¢

No51¢

Yes ≈ 49% chance

$0 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

If the PM after the next election is Reform, will hitting children be banned in England within 5 years?

Yes21¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

Ɱ102 Vol▲ 0pts8y

Polymarket

Open

François Hollande

Yes55¢

No45¢

Yes ≈ 55% chance

$394 Vol▼ 2pts9mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Olivier Faure qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$4 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Zohran Mamdani make an endorsement in any non New York race before Election Day?

Yes58¢

No42¢

Yes ≈ 58% chance

Ɱ197 Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

Manuel Bompard

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

$2.6K Vol▼ 1pts9mo

Kalshi

Open

Raphaël Glucksmann

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

$0 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Susan Collins 95.00%+ in GOP primary for Maine Senate Seat 2026?

Yes97¢

No3¢

Yes ≈ 97% chance

Ɱ832 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Sébastien Lecornu

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$3 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?

Yes62¢

No38¢

Yes ≈ 62% chance

Ɱ2.4K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Mathilde Panot

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$16.7K Vol▼ 0pts9mo