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Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Dupont-Aignan's odds reflect his established niche as a sovereignist candidate who has consistently qualified for French presidential ballots since 2012, but the 64% level also prices in the risk that a fragmented far-right field or new sponsorship rules could squeeze him out.

Yes64¢

No36¢

Yes ≈ 64% chance

$8 Vol 0pts11mo

Politics prediction markets

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

If Erica Kirk is in the 2028 Republican Primary debate, will she capture >20% of the vote in the primary?

South Carolina

Raphaël Glucksmann

If Reform wins next election, I have to show ID for Discord & Twitter full access at time of the election after that?

Will Georgia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

French socialist bloc presidential primary winner?

Will David Lammy lose his seat at the next general election?

Will Kansas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Will the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee report more than $30M in cash on hand at the end of Q3? — Above $30M

US court case where Ableman v. Booth is material on the Supremacy Clause before midterm elections?

Will New Jersey use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Will the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee report more than $35M in cash on hand at the end of Q3? — Above $35M

Will Democrats win every US House election in 2026 in Colorado?

Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Will the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee report more than $40M in cash on hand at the end of Q3? — Above $40M

Will most people use a “rectangle” as their primary device in 2034?

Will Washington use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Will the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee report more than $45M in cash on hand at the end of Q3? — Above $45M

Will Nebraska use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Will I have to show my ID to get full access to Discord or Twitter at the time of the next UK election?

Will the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee report more than $50M in cash on hand at the end of Q3? — Above $50M

Will Illinois use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Who will be President of the United States on 1 Jan 2030?