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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 83 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 4247 US elections 3145 Foreign politics 578 Political Leader Tenure 398 Future US Presidents 258 US Political Timelines 212 Leader Tenure Predictions 136 US Political Future 118 Presidential Candidacy 81 US Political Milestones ✨ 35 Person of the Year Awards 18 Sports & Political Leadership 9

5,285 markets · page 83 of 221

Kalshi

Open

KS-03 Democratic nominee?

Sharice Davids99¢

2 outcomes

$19.4K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the Prime Minister of India after the next election be from the Bharatiya Janata Party?

‹ Prev1…8182838485…221Next ›

Yes91¢

No9¢

Yes ≈ 91% chance

Ɱ321 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Dominique de Villepin

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$1.1K Vol9mo

Kalshi

Open

KS-03 Republican nominee?

Eric Jenkins96¢

3 outcomes

$15.8K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

If Zelenskyy runs for re-election before 2028, will he win?

Yes72¢

No28¢

Yes ≈ 72% chance

Ɱ1.7K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Ségolène Royal

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$2.9K Vol9mo

Kalshi

Open

KS-04 Republican nominee?

Ron Estes99¢

3 outcomes

$17.4K Vol▲ 1pts1y

Polymarket

Open

François Asselineau

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$1.7K Vol9mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a Republican win the US presidential election in 2024?/Will a Republican win the US presidential election in 2028?

A Republican wins in 2024 and a Republican does not win in 202859¢

4 outcomes

Ɱ1.6K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Kansas Governor-Senate combo

Republicans sweep71¢

4 outcomes

$4.6K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Clémentine Autain

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$1.5K Vol9mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Bongbong Marcos declare martial law in his first presidential term?

Yes42¢

No58¢

Yes ≈ 42% chance

Ɱ133 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Los Angeles City Council District 13 winner election?

Hugo Soto-Martinez98¢

4 outcomes

$29.4K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$602 Vol9mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Joe Biden's Presidential Memoir: How many copies will be sold in the first year?

1M-1.5M18¢

9 outcomes

Ɱ1.5K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Karen Bass, ≥2%

Yes47¢

No53¢

Yes ≈ 47% chance

$531 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Michel Barnier

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$978 Vol▼ 0pts9mo

Kalshi

Open

Karen Bass, ≥4%

Yes36¢

No64¢

Yes ≈ 36% chance

$2.3K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Price of gas on Election Day?

$3.76 - $4.0027¢

11 outcomes

Ɱ16.4K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

Valérie Pécresse

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$1.3K Vol▲ 0pts9mo

Kalshi

Open

Karen Bass, ≥6%

Yes27¢

No73¢

Yes ≈ 27% chance

$0 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Who will be the President of the United States of America at some point in their life?

The field is highly concentrated at the top, with Vance, Newsom, and Shapiro collectively commanding 85% of the probability, but the recent US-Iran deal (NBC News, Jun 18) has shifted focus to foreign policy, potentially boosting candidates with national security credentials while sidelining others.

J. D. Vance44¢

111 outcomes

Ɱ134K Vol▲ 0pts—

Polymarket

Open

François Bayrou

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$12 Vol▲ 0pts9mo

Kalshi

Open

Karen Bass, ≥8%

Yes28¢

No72¢

Yes ≈ 28% chance

$11 Vol▲ 0pts1y